Oral History Interview with
J. Burke Knapp
Economist, Federal Reserve Board, 1940-44; adviser on German
economic affairs, U.S. Department of State and German Military Government,
1944-45; special assistant to the chairman, Federal Reserve Board, 1945-48;
director, Office of Financial and Development Policy, Department of State,
1948-49; economic adviser U.S. delegation to NATO, 1950-51; U.S. president
of the Joint Brazil-U.S. Economic Development Commission, 1951-52; and
assistant director, economics department, International Bank for Reconstruction
and Development, 1950-52, director, Western Hemisphere department, 1952-56,
vice president, IBRD, 1956.
Bethesda, Maryland
July 24 and 30, 1975
by Richard D. McKinzie
[Notices and Restrictions | Interview Transcript | List of Subjects Discussed]
NOTICE
This is a transcript of a tape-recorded interview conducted for the Harry S. Truman Library. A draft of this transcript was edited by the interviewee but only minor emendations were made; therefore, the reader should remember that this is essentially a transcript of the spoken, rather than the written word.
Numbers appearing in square brackets (ex. [45]) within the transcript
indicate the pagination in the original, hardcopy version of the Knapp
oral history interview.
RESTRICTIONS
This oral history transcript may be read, quoted from, cited, and reproduced for purposes of research. It may not be published in full except by permission of the Harry S. Truman Library.
Opened March, 1980
Harry S. Truman Library
Independence, Missouri
[Top of the Page | Notices and Restrictions | Interview Transcript | List of Subjects Discussed]
Oral History Interview with
J. Burke Knapp
Bethesda, Maryland
July 24, 1975
by Richard D. McKinzie
[1]
MCKINZIE: Mr. Knapp,
would you be good enough to talk about your early ideas about Government
--your attitude, rationale, and your assignments?
KNAPP: Well, I'd have to
start back a little earlier than that. Life in the international field really
began for me when I went to Oxford as a Rhodes scholar in 1933. I spent three
years at Oxford studying politics, economics, and philosophy. When I was ready
to leave in 1936 I had the idea that I would probably go into Foreign Service,
although I knew that in those years the opportunities for getting into the
[2]
Foreign Service were very
restricted. As it happened, in the summer of 1936 I went to Berlin to the
Olympic Games, which I thought I'd take in before I came home. In Berlin,
actually through the intervention of some German and American Rhodes scholars
that lived in Berlin at the time, I was recommended for a job with an American
banking firm that had a branch in Berlin. I decided to take a fling at that
before I came home; it would give me an opportunity to learn German and some
practical financial aspects. So, I took this job thinking of it as a pretty
short term arrangement before coming home and pursuing my career.
This turned out to be a very
interesting job, and I decided to stay with it. I spent just six months in
Berlin, then moved to London and went into the City (where I carried an
umbrella like everybody else, although I never got around to wearing a bowler
hat). I spent a further
[3]
three years in the City of
London, which was sort of my indoctrination in international finance, which I
have pursued as a career ever since then.
I was with an Anglo-American
firm called Brown, Harriman & Co., Ltd. The managing director of the firm,
as he was called, was a fellow by the name of Henry Mann, who was of German
origin and had a lot of German connections. He'd gotten out of Germany very
early in the game and set up his headquarters in London. I owe a great deal to
him, as a man of immense integrity, experience, and a real aptitude for the
banking business. I always think of him as my first mentor.
The business that I was in
was concentrating on international banking and the underwriting of
international bond issues, which was at that time pretty primitive, although
it's grown to be a huge business in international
[4]
finance now. This was really
a pioneer effort in trying to build up international bond issues. The
conditions were very difficult in Britain in the thirties; there wasn't that
much capital and there began to be restrictions on the British capital market
for foreign issues. This made our business somewhat difficult, although we
also placed bonds in continental European markets as well as in the British
market.
I remember particularly an
operation in which we placed bonds of the River Plate Telephone Company, which
was a subsidiary of ITT, and sold these bonds all over Europe. At the time the
London market itself was closed to us. This operation happened to have been
quite historic in the history of ITT, because ITT at that time had very large
short term debts outstanding in the United States and they were on the point of
collapse. Through our efforts, and on the credit of their Argentine
subsidiary, which was one of
[5]
the most profitable of their
operations, enough money was raised to tide them over the short term cash flow
problem that they had at home and keep the ITT empire intact.
MCKINZZE: Were you aware of
Lord Keynes?
KNAPP: Oh, yes. My Oxford
education in economics was almost pre-Keynesian, Keynes was writing at the time
and things were coming out, but of course, he was at Cambridge and not at
Oxford. At Oxford they don't pay much attention to Cambridge economists, so I
only really later came to appreciate the values of the Keynesian
doctrine.
The war broke up the business
that I was in. When the war broke out in September '39, the British market
closed down completely, continental Europe was soon in turmoil, and my job went
out from under me. I came back to the States in January 1940, looking for
work. I talked a little at that time to the State Department, thinking of
[6]
the old idea that I might
like to go into the Foreign Service. But with my experience in economics and
finance, I thought that I might have a better opportunity in one of the
financial agencies. I shopped around among the Treasury and the Federal
Reserve Board in Washington and in the Federal Reserve Bank in New York, and,
to make a long story short, I ended up by taking a job with the Federal Reserve
Board.
As a matter of fact, I got
two offers at the time which were both very interesting. One was from the
Federal Reserve Board, which I accepted, and the other was from the Treasury,
where I had a long interview at the time with Mr. Harry White, who came later
to be known as the real intellectual author of the Bretton Woods institutions.
Harry White was very anxious for me to come to the Treasury, but I finally
decided on the Federal Reserve, not really because of any considerations about
money or career, but
[7]
just because of the people
over there. The people in the Federal Reserve at that time were the chairman,
Mr. Marriner Eccles; the head of the research department, as they called it,
Dr. [E.A.,] Goldenweiser; the assistant head, Woodlief Thomas; and then the
head of the international work, Walter Gardner. All these men were very
outstanding and interesting people, and I'll have a little more to say about
some of them later.
So, I ended up taking this
job in the Federal Reserve. They had a personnel form that asked you to
specify the lowest salary you'd accept, which I always felt was a kind of a
dirty trick. So, I decided finally that I really wanted this job, and put down
$2,500; and that was my starting salary at the Federal Reserve. Of course, I
probably couldn't have gotten more than $3,000 anyway, given the salaries of
those days, but I think I probably understated a little my
[8]
experience as a graduate in
economics from Stanford University, a graduate from Oxford, and four years of
practical experience in international finance.
I hadn't been there more than
about two or three months when another very interesting proposition came along,
which I think is worth mentioning. This was with the Bank for International Settlements,
in Basle, Switzerland. Its director, Per Jacobsson, later became the head of
the Monetary Fund, and he was really an outstanding economist; he had great
size, both physically and intellectually. He came to Washington on a
recruitment expedition, wanting to get a young American economist to come and
work for the BIS in Basle. The Federal Reserve in principle was prepared to
release me on a sort of loan basis.
I talked to Jacobsson very
seriously about it, along in February 1940. I knew some languages,
[9]
had had this European
experience, and he thought it would be a very good fit. They wanted to add
some Americans, at least one, to their staff. I told Per that I was interested
in principle, but that I was concerned about what was going to happen to this
job in neutral Switzerland if the war heated up and Switzerland became
virtually isolated in a belligerent Europe.
This was in February or
March. He said, "Well, we'll fix it for the first of July. You come to
work on the first of July, if we're still in business, so to speak."
Well, then came the events of
April and May 1940, the invasion of Belgium, the Netherlands, and then of
France; the BIS really went into mothballs for the rest of the war period.
They did a lot of useful research work there, but it wasn't the kind of active
life that I had expected and looked for, and so I respectfully declined.
I came to know Per Jacobsson
very well
[10]
later, when he was the head
of the Monetary Fund. We used to reminisce and talk about what might have been
if the BIS had been able to continue its work, or if I'd come there to spend a
while in the isolation of Switzerland.
But that didn't work out. Of
course, the war clouds began to gather pretty fast over the United States, and
my work at the Federal Reserve came to be dominated more and more by wartime
considerations. I really think of my years there as being concerned with
wartime finance and postwar planning.
On the subject of wartime
finance -- that is to say, the financing of the United States war effort -- I
didn't personally have anything to do with it; I was strictly on the
international side. But I learned a lot about it by contact with my
colleagues. The Federal Reserve essentially was called upon to underwrite the
war effort, and the budget immediately began to run into huge
[11]
deficits as war expenditures
began, even as the preparations for war began. Certainly after Pearl Harbor
there were huge deficits in the Federal budget, and they had to be financed in
large part by the banking system. There were the savings bond drives, taxes
were increased, and all that, but the huge requirements of the Federal budget
required the banking system to move in, to buy war bonds on a vast scale,
expand the money supply, and engage in what Marriner Eccles liked to call the
"monetization of the public debt." What this meant was that large
public expenditures were financed by the creation of money through the banking
system. The Federal Reserve, which in normal times would be exercising
restraints on the supply of money because of the fear of inflation, was turned
into a veritable engine of inflation. It tried to organize this through the
banking system, but it had no autonomous power to control events;
[12]
it was simply the victim of
events, and the money supply was vastly expanded. The inflationary impact of
that expanded money supply was held in check by price controls and wage
controls, but when that backed up money supply was let loose, it led to the
very serious inflation that followed immediately after the end of the war.
There were two notable
personalities that came down to serve as advisers to the Federal Reserve in
those days. One was Alvin Hansen, who was a professor of economics at Harvard
University and a great exponent of Keynes. He was the first Keynesian disciple
in the United States, and he wrote and talked a great deal. He exercised a
very powerful influence in Washington, not only in the Federal Reserve but in
the Treasury and the White House, in arguing the Keynesian case and how Keynes
would have handled a situation such as was confronted during
[13]
the war. Keynes had, indeed,
in his writings contemplated exactly the case of war finance. Then in London
he was the principal author of the British system for financing the war effort,
which again ran on very similar lines with the monetization of the public debt
and the insulation of the consequences through price and wage controls.
The other adviser who spent a
lot of time at the Federal Reserve was Gottfried von Haberler, who was probably
best known for his work in the international field. He was one of those very
distinguished Austrian economists who came to the New World, to America, and settled
down. He is still alive and well at Harvard as a very senior professor of
economics.
MCKINZIE: You mentioned the
other aspects of the Federal Reserve, the postwar planning.
KNAPP: Right. That gets
more into my own particular
[14]
work. With the outbreak of
the war or very soon thereafter (and I must say I wasn't responsible for
launching this, but I always thought it was a pretty foresighted thing to do),
all branches of the U.S. Government were organized to concern themselves with
the future occupation of Europe by U.S. forces. Partly these studies were
initiated to study what Germany, as the occupying power in Europe, was doing in
the occupied countries and in Germany itself. But it soon
turned in the direction of
planning for what was to happen after the war, always on the assumption, which
nobody ever doubted or hesitated about, that this was going to be an Allied
victory. The Americans would finally become an occupying power in Europe and
they'd have European problems on their hands.
So, the different agencies of
Government took over portions of this problem according to their functional
responsibilities, and it fell to the
[15]
Federal Reserve to prepare
studies of the continental European banking systems (somehow we never assumed
that Britain was going to be our problem).
At that time there were a
great many refugees from the Continent who had come to the United States in one
capacity or another. I was put in charge of a program utilizing them to
prepare studies of the European banking and monetary systems, with an eye to
turning these into what we called military government handbooks. These were
information manuals that would be put at the disposal of military government as
it was set up in the continental European countries.
Here was I, just a
youngster. I did know some languages, which helped, but I was put in charge of
a stable of refugee economists and financial experts. We had Germans,
Belgians, French, and Italians, and we were writing all these essays and studies
about financial systems
[16]
in Europe. I will say that I
think they eventually proved very useful and helpful to military government.
As time went along, I became
typed as a fellow that knew about this subject, and I used to go down to the
War College in Charlottesville, Virginia, where they had an institute for
training officers in military government, to lecture on what the systems were
in these countries, and to make suggestions on how they might be administered
under a regime of occupation.
MCKINZIE: Were you aware at
the time that they were also studying the whole problem of occupation and
postwar developments in the State Department under Leo Pasvolsky and that in
fact that Treasury also had something going on?
KNAPP: Oh, we all were. As
I say, this activity was spread all over Washington among the different
functional agencies, and we were
[17]
assigned a particular role in
banking and currency. The Treasury was doing studies more about fiscal
systems, budgets, taxes, and that sort of thing, but when it came to money then
we crossed paths. At that time a very interesting controversy developed about
how the U.S. forces occupying Europe could best pay their way when they invaded
a country.
The initial thought was,
"Oh, you pay your way in dollars." But then it was said, "Well,
that's very dangerous. In the first place, the dollars might fall in the hands
of the enemy. Why should we be throwing good dollars into Europe?" I'll
say that I was one of the originators of this idea: "Why don't we print
currency in the local denominations?"
For example, instead of going
into Germany and throwing a lot of dollars around, why not go into Germany and
print marks, and call them "occupation marks." Then in the peace
treaty
[18]
we would require the German
Government to accept responsibility for the marks that had been issued and
convert them back into regular marks. This came to be called occupation
currency, and there was a great debate about it.
It wasn't particularly a
debate between Federal Reserve and Treasury, although the Treasury seemed to
lean for a while on the side of using a special dollar currency. Then they
became convinced of the merits of this occupation currency. In the very first
American invasion, which was in North Africa, this occupation currency idea
hadn't yet taken hold and the American forces paid their way in dollars. But
they were specially designated dollars with a yellow seal on them instead of a
green seal. The idea was that if the territories were then lost and they fell
into the hands of the enemy, these yellow seal dollars could be disowned,
repudiated.
As our forces went further, I
just don't
[19]
remember how extensively
occupation currencies, other than occupation marks, were employed. But when it
came to Germany, the system that was established was to issue occupation marks.
I might say that that led in
turn to a very, very difficult problem -- and I'm getting a little away now
from things that I was personally concerned with -- because Germany was
occupied not by the Western Powers, but by the Allies including the Soviet
Union. We prepared all these plates for the printing of the occupation marks.
Of course, it made sense for the occupying powers to follow a common policy and
to all use the same occupation marks, rather than different brands of
occupation marks printed by different countries. That was easy to agree upon
with the British and the French, because there was a unified command and a
unified accounting, but then the Russians said, "Okay, where do we come
in?"
[20]
So, the Russians insisted on
getting a supply of these marks, and there was a great battle and a lot of
well-founded fears about it. But the Russians insisted, "We want a supply
of these marks, and furthermore, we want a duplicate set of plates that we can
print our own supplies on." Like a lot of things that were done during the
war in the interest of maintaining the quadripartite occupation and control of
Germany, the Russians were finally given plates from which to print these
marks.
Well, it had been feared that
the Russians would, so to speak, abuse this privilege of printing marks and of
course, what they did was to go ahead and print them on a vast scale.
Every Russian soldier that went into Germany had his pockets stuffed with marks
with which he could buy up all the gold watches or anything else that they were
looking for. The result was a great outpouring of these occupation marks in
the Soviet
[21]
zone of occupation. Of
course, the money that was spent in the Soviet zone of occupation just floated
over the other areas of occupation, and it meant, in the first place, that the
real goods and supplies, such as they were, in the western part of Germany
could be bought up by East Germans who had this flood of marks at their
disposal. That caused a drain of supplies into East Germany, but even worse it
set the fires of inflation going. It could have had very serious inflationary
consequences if that money had been allowed to be outstanding for very long.
What happened was that within
a fairly short period of time, the regular German currency was restored and all
that occupation currency was called in. This was part of what they called the
monetary purge of Germany; the old Deutschemarks and the occupation marks were
all called in and people were given, in exchange,
[22]
only a fraction of the amount
they had deposited. Thus this great surplus of currency that threatened to
drive up prices at a terrible rate was immobilized, and the new German currency
was issued in amounts which put it on a sound basis. Indeed the new
Deutschemark, right from that time, became one of the hardest and most solid
currencies in Europe, later on even in the world. The German mark today is as
strong a currency as it is because those original measures had been taken to
restrict its issue to amounts which would establish its real value.
Now, I was also concerned
somewhat with the exchange control measures which were introduced in the United
States as part of the war regime. This was a Treasury function, and I was
concerned only sometimes in an advisory capacity. The United States had to
introduce exchange control first of all from the point of view of economic
warfare -- to seize all enemy
[23]
assets in the United States.
And enemy assets were not only German assets; when France was occupied, for
example, all French assets were under control of the enemy and they equally had
to be immobilized in the United States. Then there had to be a series of
measures introduced to avoid financial manipulation by the enemy in the United
States markets, and to control the proceeds of exports to assure that funds
paid for exports didn't fall into enemy hands. Quite a complex mechanism of
exchange controls was introduced, many of them based upon the experience of the
British, who had had the same problem but two or three years earlier, and who
had by that time developed a very sophisticated system of capital and exchange
controls.
Pretty early in the game,
like about 1943, planning began for the postwar world and the postwar
international monetary system, in particular. This was the pre-Bretton Woods
planning,
[24]
and here also I played a
minor role. My job in the Fed was still concentrated pretty heavily on postwar
planning for military government, and the people who were working on the
postwar planning for the international monetary system were the people that I
mentioned earlier: Goldenweiser, who was the top economic adviser to the
Federal Reserve Board; Woodlief Thomas; and Walter Gardner. The lead in this
field was taken by the Treasury, but the State Department and the Federal
Reserve were both considerably involved in it. The State Department was more
concerned with -- they were thinking about the postwar international trade
systems commodity systems -- but there was obviously a close relationship
between these two. This was Harry White's heyday, when he was planning an
international monetary system based on gold, but with a considerable degree of
international management introduced into the gold reserve standard. The
[25]
feeling was that the prewar
system had shown itself to be very defective; that there had been anarchy in
the international monetary system because individual countries pursued their
own monetary, fiscal, and economic policies; that it was imperative to have
some international coordination of monetary policy; and that in particular the
great evil of competitive depreciation in exchange rates had to be brought
under control. The feeling was that during the prewar years, as the world was
emerging from the great depression, many countries had played the game of
artificially manipulating the exchange rates of their currencies in order to
gain advantage in the international market place. They would depreciate their
currencies in order to sell their exports more cheaply in external markets. Of
course, this was a kind of "beggar my neighbor" policy, because, as
they depreciated, the countries buying their exports began to run into
deficits, and they in turn would try to depreciate. This
[26]
could easily have degenerated
into a competitive race, with everybody trying to depreciate against everybody
else in order to gain trading advantage. This was a pretty chaotic system.
So, the basic idea of Harry
White was to establish an international mechanism by which countries would
consult together with respect to their monetary policies, particularly their
exchange rate policies, and to establish an international authority in this
field, which subsequently became the International Monetary Fund. This would
be the arbiter of exchange rates and would decide when a country was in such a
chronic deficit position that its currency ought to be devalued in order to
achieve equilibrium.
Countries would have to come
to an international court to get a judgment before they engaged in exchange
depreciation.
Of course, a very important
question was just how much authority to vest in this central agency.
[27]
If you vested sufficient
authority in it, it would become in fact an international central bank;
monetary policy and exchange rate policy in the individual countries would be
subordinated to the will of this central authority.
Well, nobody really pursued
the idea to such an extreme, although some people thought that, in setting up
the Monetary Fund with limited powers of surveillance, discussion, and debate,
it might eventually accrue more and more power to itself and become a really
dominant world monetary authority.
MCKINZIE: Mr. Knapp, do you
recall at that time discussions about Lord Keynes' proposal, which vied for a
short time? I think the U.S. Treasury indicated that it was not going to
participate in such a program, but was it seriously considered by other people
or by yourself?
KNAPP: Yes, it was very
seriously considered and
[28]
studied. The Bretton Woods
Conference took place in October 1944, and there was a preliminary meeting at
Atlantic City early in '44 or late 1943 where delegations came from the principal
countries. In particular, Keynes came from Britain and White from the United
States, championing the respective proposals which they had drawn up and had by
that time exchanged. It was at Atlantic City that the basic decision was made
that the White plan rather than the Keynes plan should be pursued. The Keynes
plan was a far simpler and intellectually more satisfying structure for
monetary affairs. He would have created an international currency, which was
coined the "Bancor" ("or" for gold, to get a little French
in it and to convey the idea that gold was the base of the currency). This
bancor would be issued by an international agency, and countries would have had
far more liberal access to this international money than they ever got to the
[29]
resources of the
International Monetary Fund.
I spoke of the Monetary Fund
as being a forum for the discussion and negotiation of exchange rates, but I
should also have said that the International Fund, from the beginning, was
conceived as a source of credit. Countries were given drawing rights on the
Monetary Fund, which they could exercise by selling their own currencies to the
Monetary Fund. The Monetary Fund was endowed with a massive capital,
contributed by all of the countries but mostly in their own currencies. Of
course, the money that was in desperate need all over the world at the time was
U.S. dollars. The idea was that this U.S. dollar contribution could be drawn
by other countries from time to time by sale of their own currencies in exchange
for dollars. The Fund would build up stock of currencies other than dollars to
that extent. But all these drawings were to be made under pretty severe
[30]
conditions. They constituted
an international line of credit to be dispensed by the authority under pretty
strict conditions with respect to the performance of the borrowing countries.
The Americans felt that at
least potentially (it would have all depended upon how it was administered) the
Keynes plan would provide a far easier source of credit. This touched on a
very critical difference between the United States and the British positions.
The United States view was that if one country had a surplus and another
country had a deficit in its balance of payments, it was the responsibility of
the deficit country to adjust its position and get out of the hole. There was
no problem with the surplus country; the surplus country was just a godfather
that was carrying the other fellow over until he could put his house in order.
So, the deficit country was exhorted to cut down on imports, push up exports,
and cut back on the
[31]
scale of internal economic
development in order to dampen the demand for imports and release commodities
for export rather than consumption on the domestic market.
Now, the Keynes approach was
fundamentally different. He said that if there is an imbalance between the
surplus country and a deficit country, each of those countries is equally
responsible to clear up that situation. A deficit country has to do a lot of
things, but a surplus country has a fundamental obligation to take measures to
adjust its position and not force its surplus upon the world. It ought to, for
example, to appreciate its currency, if necessary, in order to make its exports
less attractive. This would also encourage imports by its people. It ought to
adopt an expansive domestic financial and fiscal policy, in order to build up
demand and keep some of those goods at home that were being exported and while
creating new demands for imports.
[32]
I must say that at the time I
thought that this was just heresy. But, of course, we have observed that in
recent years, when the United States was in massive deficit and the Germans and
the Japanese were in massive surplus, it was the United States that was
lecturing the Germans and the Japanese to take expansionary measures to avoid
the surpluses they were accumulating.
Another way, of course, that
you can remedy a balance of payments situation is for the country that has a
surplus to invest that surplus abroad and thereby restore the balance in
overall payments. The shoe has been on the other foot in recent years, and
it's been rather amusing to see how the United States' position has changed
radically as their economic situation changed.
I was close enough to this
Bretton Woods preparatory work that when the Bretton Woods Conference was being
organized I was designated to participate. This was about a year before
[33]
Bretton Woods, but we were
planning the conference already at that time. The secretariat for the
Conference was primarily a United States secretariat. At least I don't
remember that there were any representatives from other nations; it shows how
far the United States dominated the whole scene at the time.
Frank Coe was designated as
the secretary of the Conference. He later came into bad troubles. He was
accused of being a Communist agent and, along with Harry White, fell from the
scene; in fact, he ended up by going off to live in Communist China.
But he was the general
secretary of the Conference, and then under him there was to be a secretary for
Committee I, which was concerned with the Monetary Fund; a secretary for
Committee II, which was to consider the World Bank; and a secretary for
Committee III, which was to consider various other subjects that were offshoots
of the
[34]
Conference. One of these was
to reach agreement on the liquidation of the BIS, the agency that I had almost
gone to work for at the beginning of the war. The BIS, in the American view at
the time, was condemned because they had been trading with the enemy during the
war. They were sitting there in Switzerland and had maintained relations with
both sides. As a matter of fact, the reason the BIS had first been created in
the twenties was to distribute German reparations to the rest of Europe through
the so-called Dawes plan and later the Young plan. And they administered these
German monies even during the war; they could hardly not have traded with the
enemy unless they were to have abandoned the basic function for which they had
been created. So this was just a kind of political vendetta, but it was
pursued very hard by Henry Morgenthau and some of his Treasury associates. The
Federal Reserve always took the view that the BIS should
[35]
not be condemned for this,
that it was a very useful institution and its integrity should be maintained in
the postwar period. There was even some feeling, I think, in the Treasury that
the BIS was a potential rival to the International Monetary Fund and it would
be just as well to get rid of this institution lest it impair the workings of
the new dream organization, the Monetary Fund. So, a resolution was proposed
by the United States at Bretton Woods to liquidate the BIS, and it was passed
under very heavy pressure from the United States. The United States wasn't even
a member of the BIS, which made it all the more extraordinary that they would
sponsor and push through such a resolution. The resolution called for the
winding up and extinction of the BIS, but it never happened; the resolution was
never carried out.
About a year before the
Bretton Woods Conference, in which I had expected to participate,
[36]
I was called to the State
Department to work on the preparations for military government in Germany. I
wasn't very happy about this, but the call was made in terms of a wartime duty,
and I decided to move to the State Department at the end of 1943. We had
people there working on the German-occupied countries, but my assignment was to
work on the postwar administration of Germany itself.
MCKINZIE: Had the handbook
been written at that point?
KNAPP: Yes. We'd produced
our materials and we had put them in the hands of the Department of the Army
for use by the military officers who would be concerned with the occupation of,
first, the occupied countries, and then of Germany itself.
MCKINZIE: Did you think at
the time that you might go back to the Fed?
[37]
KNAPP: I did think of it and
I did do it.
I want to just add a footnote
about the Bretton Woods planning and all that. As I say, I moved out of it
about a year before Bretton Woods and at the time the Bretton Woods meeting was
being held, I was in the State Department on other business. However, I took a
vacation at that time and took my family up to New England. I'd been planning
to go up to New England anyway, but knowing that this conference was on, I
thought it might be fun to go up there and hang around the conference in a
purely unofficial capacity.
I wasn't an accredited
representative, but I sneaked into a few meetings. I also used to attend the
meetings of "Committee IV." I said earlier that there were three
committees. Well, "Committee IV" met late at night in the nightclub
downstairs in the Bretton Woods Hotel after the agony of the day was over. (I
might say
[38]
that the agony of the day
sometimes included drafting sessions that ran into all hours of the day and
night.) Usually, if you went along in the evening to "Committee IV,"
you could pick up the gossip as to what had happened during the day.
And then I wangled an
invitation to the final dinner, which was to celebrate the conclusion of this
arduous period. The Conference had been called originally for a week or ten
days, and they actually finally took two weeks. By today's standards, when you
have conferences that take literally months and months to produce a major
international agreement, it was an incredibly fast piece of work to draw such
sweeping and intricate plans for the postwar monetary system in such a short
time.
When everything was buttoned
up and the charter of the Monetary Fund and the World Bank were finally
drafted, all the delegations (except
[39]
the Russians) affixed their
signatures, ad referendum to governments and to eventual legislative approval,
because all of this would have to go through Parliaments and the U.S.
Congress. The Russians had sent a delegation to Bretton Woods but didn't take
a very active part in the whole thing, although they had some pretty good
people. By the time of the final dinner, nobody knew whether they were going
to sign the final declaration or not. But half way through the dinner -- in a
very dramatic moment -- Secretary Morgenthau, who was the head of the U.S.
delegation, got up to his feet, rapped on his glass for order, and made what at
that time seemed like a most magnificent announcement, namely that the Soviet
delegation had received instructions from Moscow to sign the Bretton Woods
Agreement. And indeed they signed it, like everybody else, ad referendum.
Furthermore, they pledged a billion dollars to the Fund and a billion
[40]
dollars to the Bank as their
capital contribution to the institutions, which made them the third largest
participant. The United States was the largest, the British were second, and
the Soviet Union third. Of course, all of that evaporated in the months and
years that followed, and the Soviet Union never joined these international
organizations. It has never shown, indeed, the slightest interest of pursuing
that signature that their delegation affixed on the Charter at Bretton Woods.
As I've talked about the Bretton Woods Conference and the buildup of
the postwar planning in the international monetary field, I haven't even
referred to the origins of the World Bank, which was a companion piece
to the Monetary Fund founded at the Bretton Woods Conference. Even though
most of my later career was in the World Bank, that omission is just a
striking reflection of how little attention was paid to
[41]
the Bank in the pre-Bretton Woods planning or in the Bretton Woods Conference
itself. I suppose if one measured the time spent during those fourteen
days of work at the Bretton Woods Conference, the Bank probably didn't
take more than a day and a half.
There had, of course, been a
lot of pre-planning with respect to the Bank. The Bank was exclusively a U.S.
idea; there was nothing really corresponding to it on the British side. It's
true that in the very early stages of the Keynes scheme, it had been designed
also to provide funds for reconstruction, but that faded out fast. The concept
was that the International Monetary Fund was going to be a monetary authority
that it was going to provide resources to iron out fluctuations in the
international balance of payments and in national reserves, but it was clearly
and definitely not intended to finance long-term investments. A very
clear distinction
[42]
was made between the role of
the Fund in the monetary short-term financial field and the role of some other
institution, which turned out to be the World Bank, in financing long-term
investment requirements.
So, very little attention was
paid to the Bank, and in the end the Bank charter was thrown together in great
haste. The Bank charter has clauses in it that don't make any sense as far as
the Bank is concerned, because they were carried over literally from the Fund
charter. I could give some examples of that.
Take, for example, the
structure of the organization. The head of the institution is called the
"managing director" in the Fund and "the president" in the
Bank, but after that the whole structure is identical; the same terminology,
the same provisions. As I say, it was put together as a kind of clip and paste
job at the end of the day at the Bretton Woods Conference.
[43]
Now, the thinking about the
Bank, which was mainly on the U.S. side, was that there ought to be set up as a
postwar institution an agency to provide long-term investment capital to the
rest of the world. It really was almost to the rest of the world,
because the United States was at that time absolutely dominating the whole
scene as far as capital resources were concerned. The developing countries
were languishing the way they had for centuries, and the other industrialized
countries, Western Europe, Japan, and the United Kingdom, were in desperate
straits. The whole world looked virtually to the United States, Canada, and to
some slight extent to the richer countries of Latin America, like Argentina,
for support.
So, the first thing was to
give it the formal title; the formal title of the World Bank is the
International Bank for Reconstruction and Development. The concept was that
its initial task
[44]
would be to finance the
reconstruction of the war devastated areas, and after it had tidied that little
problem up, it would then move on to become a development bank for the
developing countries. That's very revealing about how little was understood at
the time of the vast requirements of European and Far Eastern reconstruction.
The Bank was set up with a
capital of something like 10 billion dollars, and that's to be compared with
the 18 billion dollars that got poured into the Marshall plan for Europe alone.
When the World Bank was
formally established and opened its doors for business in June 1946, and after
a period of getting organized, the first applications that came to the World
Bank were from European countries, from the French, the Belgians, the Dutch.
(The British requirements were handled by a special loan to Britain directly
from the United States, and I'll have more to
[45]
say about that later. There
was also a direct loan to the French.) So, the Bank was relied upon, in the
first instance, to start this task of financing reconstruction of Europe. Of
course, it very rapidly became apparent that its resources were totally
inadequate to that task that if it threw all of its resources into that work,
there would be nothing left over for the long-term task which was assigned to
the Bank to finance the developing countries. This put the Bank in an
impossible position.
The Bank did lend about five
or six hundred million dollars in its first operations for reconstruction loans
to Europe. It was only a few months after that that General Marshall launched
the Marshall plan in his speech at Harvard University, and the task of
financing the reconstruction of Europe and subsequently the reconstruction of
Japan was assigned to other channels. The Bank got out of the business right
after those
[46]
initial loans, because by
that time it had also become apparent that the requirements of the developing
countries were pretty vast, too.
One of the reasons it got out
of the business was because, at that time, nobody felt that the
creditworthiness of the European countries or Japan was sufficient to absorb
more than a small amount of loans. Of course, the Marshall plan was basically
set up on a grant basis. And the Bank was an afterthought. The Bank
has since developed on a scale that was hardly anticipated at the Bretton Woods
Conference, in its role of financing the developing countries.
The next chapter in my career
followed my joining the State Department in the beginning of 1944, to work on
plans for postwar Germany. This was a planning period that was concerned,
first of all, with the occupation of Germany and the establishment of
quadripartite control of Germany, and then the long-run task, as it was
envisaged,
[47]
of reincorporating Germany in
a world community. I was concerned with economic planning in a broad sense --
I was, in this role, getting beyond finance, money, banking, and fiscal affairs
and into questions of industrial development, agricultural development,
production, employment, and the whole range of the problems of the German
economy.
At the time that I went into
the State Department there was already developing a great controversy between
the State Department and the Treasury, with the Department of the Army, for the
time being heavily preoccupied with fighting the war, in a sort of a middle
position and a waiting position. The controversy centered on what came to be
known as the Morgenthau plan. Henry Morgenthau, who felt extremely bitterly
about Germany, advocated that when the time came and Germany surrendered, it
should be, in his phrase, "pastoralized." Germany should be denied
the right to develop any kind of industry beyond light
[48]
consumer goods. Heavy
industry in Germany should be suppressed; the coal mines should be flooded, and
coal, which was the major German industrial resource, should be denied to
future generations of Germany. Germany should be reduced to a pastoral state;
an agricultural economy with a little light industry. If Germany could be held
in that state of subjugation, the threat of a new rise of Nazism, militarism,
and aggression in Germany could be permanently extinguished.
Now, I suppose it's obvious
now, with the benefit of hindsight, how ridiculous such a thesis was. Indeed,
there were many at the time who regarded this as a perfectly ridiculous
proposition, and the State Department took issue with this in a very
fundamental way. It took the view that this was a totally unrealistic policy
and that other and better ways would have to be found to integrate Germany into
the world community, specifically that the planning for the
[49]
postwar occupation of Germany
in the economic and financial sense should be to restore order, to begin giving
employment, and to establish control over war industries. Germany was never
again to be a manufacturer of armaments or of aircraft, but an outlet would
have to be given to this very talented people to find a way in the world and to
develop a normal economic life, subject only to your rather narrow restrictions
(as compared with the Morgenthau concept to neutralize Germany as an aggressive
force). This cleavage ran very deep through Washington and frustrated a lot of
postwar planning, because until that sort of an issue got settled, a lot of
planning was being done in a vacuum and without much conviction that it would
really be employed.
Well, nonetheless, that was
the atmosphere in which I was working. I personally felt that this Morgenthau
plan was totally ridiculous. Yet, the advocates of the Morgenthau plan built
it
[50]
up to the point where anybody
that contested it was obviously crypto-Nazi or was at least failing to do his
patriotic duty to see that nothing like this ever happened again. It was a
very difficult atmosphere in which to work, but we did get ahead with our
planning effort in the State Department, including the economic and financial
aspects. The main problem of planning the postwar occupation of Germany was to
plan the political structure. What kind of a government should you have in
Germany, what should be the responsibilities of the occupying powers, and how
would they go about exercising them?
Everybody was pretty clear that, in the initial stages of the occupation, there
would be no government in Germany other than local municipal authorities
and possibly provincial authorities, that the functions of the central
government of Germany should be transferred to the occupying powers.
But that led to the question
[51]
of who are the occupying powers and how are they going to work together
to exercise this mandate? This wasn't too difficult as between the U.S.,
the U.K., and France, but there was a major difficulty in trying to decide
how Germany would be administered by a quadripartite system of occupying
powers including the Soviet Union. At the time the Soviet Union was the
Noble Ally and we all shared the task of defeating the German aggression,
but it was obvious that to have the three Western Powers and the Soviet
Union working in harness to administer Germany was going to be a very
difficult task. It became apparent early in the game that it would be
impossible for quadripartite authority to be set up and administer Germany
on a unified basis. Therefore, for purposes of military administration,
but also for purposes of political administration, it was decided to set
up the zonal system. Germany was divided into four
[52]
zones, and each zone was to
be occupied and administered by one of the four great powers. But it was also
hoped and expected at that time that there would be a strong central
coordinating authority. It was called different things at different times, but
the basic title was the Allied Control Council. The concept was that this
Allied Control Council (of course this would be an entirely military
administration in the initial stages) would be a quadripartite military
organization which would govern Germany and coordinate political, economic, and
financial administration in the four separate zones. We had to have a center,
and so the concept was that Berlin -- the old capital of Germany -- would be
the capital of Germany again, and would be the central point of administration
where the Allied Control Council would be established. Contrary to
expectations, it turned out to be impossible even to have a unified Berlin.
There was a unified Vienna when
[53]
Vienna was occupied; it
wasn't split into zones. But as far as Berlin was concerned, finally it was
carved up into four sectors and each occupying power had a separate zone in
Berlin.
Now, there was further the
very awkward fact that Berlin was an enclave in the Soviet zone of Germany, so
that arrangements had to be made for access to Berlin from the three Western
zones. A lot of time was spent in working out these conditions of access and
the subsequent crisis over the Berlin blockade arose simply because the
Russians, at a certain point, denied access to Berlin from the West, and trade
from the Western zones of Germany was cut off. Berlin was still accessible by
air, and the access by air of the occupying powers was not challenged, but the
Russians did establish a land blockade of Berlin so far as the movement of
goods and German people were concerned. It happens that I had quite a
[54]
hand in this affair, but that
is a later chapter in my story.
MCKINZIE: Did you have
anything to do with working out these original access arrangements?
KNAPP: Well, I sat in
committees where these were discussed, but my role in the committees was
limited. There was a lot of planning going on across the board in the economic
field, political field, military field, and there were committees to bring
these people together. But I was a bystander as far as the political side was
concerned. I was concerned with the economic administration.
Take the questions of
financial administration in Germany, which was part of the economic task. The
advocates of the Morgenthau plan said, "The Allied Powers should assume no
responsibility for money and banking." If there was to be a tremendous
inflation as a
[55]
result of these occupation
marks, and if the banking system collapsed, so much the better. "Let the
Germans stew in their own juice. Banking and finance is very important in
building up an economy, and our task is not to restore the financial and
banking mechanisms. The less they are restored, the more we are assured that
Germany will collapse into this state of pastoralization."
Of course, that meant that
all of the planning we were doing in the State Department on these matters
seemed, at the time at least, to be threatened with frustration by the
application of the "hands-off" Morgenthau plan.
I spent a year,
approximately, on this planning work, and then I was sent overseas in an odd
capacity. By this time (this was now in early 1945) the Supreme Allied Command
had been established in Versailles, pending the move into Germany. General
[Dwight David] Eisenhower was
[56]
the Supreme Commander, and he
had as his political adviser a State Department officer, Ambassador Robert
Murphy. I was sent over to be economic adviser to the political adviser, that
is to say, the economic adviser to Bob Murphy. We worked in Versailles, and
then I was sent on some advance missions into parts of occupied Germany.
Actually on V-E Day I was in Essen where the great Krupp works was burning to
the ground. As the advocates of the Morgenthau plan would say, "It was
never to be rebuilt."
Then with the collapse of
Germany and the move of the Supreme Command to Frankfurt, I moved along with
the advanced contingents that went into Frankfurt to establish military
government in the U.S. zone of Germany, of which Frankfurt was the temporary
capital.
MCKINZIE: As the State Department man, did you have contact with the Treasury
Department man, who at this time was Bernard Bernstein?
[57]
KNAPP: Yes. The civilians,
such as we in State and those in Treasury, were set up with uniforms and a
"simulated" rank. Bernie Bernstein was a general, and I was a
colonel. I didn't have very much to do with the Treasury activities, which at
that time were very heavily concentrated on two or three lines of work, first
of all recovery of war booty. They went into Frankfurt to seize the gold
reserves. They were concerned with rounding up the German bankers and getting
them into concentration camps. They just weren't bothering about the
administration of Germany. It was an interesting conflict, because the
military had officers who had been trained at Charlottesville and were supposed
to come in and run the banking systems. They didn't get any encouragement from
the Treasury or any advice from the Treasury, which was dominated by the
concept of the Morgenthau plan and wasn't paying any attention to getting
[58]
key institutions,
organizations, and mechanisms reorganized and back on their feet. I got very
alarmed about the threat of inflation; just runaway inflation. Of course, the
German economy had gone through this in the early twenties, when utter economic
disorder had been created by the hyperinflation. I got very concerned about
this, and I wrote a memorandum at the time which is about the only document
that I retained from the time. I wrote a memorandum to Murphy and said,
"For God's sake, let's get about the job of reorganizing the German
banking and monetary system, because otherwise they're going to have raging
inflation and total disorder."
At that time, just after the
occupation, this was sort of crying in the wilderness. But it wasn't long (and
here I can't give you the exact chronology) till General [Lucius D.] Clay was
sent over as the Military Governor of Germany.
[59]
General Clay was a military
figure, but he was a statesman. He was taking the long run view of Germany,
and he wasn't there merely as a commanding general that had come in with his
troops. He was a military governor with a very great sense of responsibility.
It wasn't very long before he
looked over the scene and decided that this occupation was going to be a total
disaster unless something was done to bring order into the German economy. He
feared that Germany would rapidly descend into starvation, unemployment, and
violence and he concluded that the safety of the occupying forces would require
that something be done to bring things into some semblance of order.
In other words, he felt that
he was there as Governor and it would be an ungovernable situation unless
something was done. It was his messages back to Washington, and it was finally
[Henry L.] Stimson, as the Secretary of
[60]
the Army, who came down hard
on the side that the Morgenthau plan was unrealistic and unworkable. The
rationale was not because anything was good or bad for the Germans, or for the
long-run future of integrating Germany into the world community, but simply that
here was an occupying force in Germany which had to be protected against the
starvation, plagues, and violence that would be the consequence of a total
neglect of the German economic recovery. It was Clay who then began to
assemble a team of economic administrators, brought General William Draper over
with many other distinguished people of military and civilian backgrounds, and
began building a military government and an economic policy for Germany under
occupation.
He was the one that began
talking about getting the Ruhr coal mines back to work, getting steel
production up, getting the railways running again, getting agricultural
supplies so the
[61]
Germans could start growing
their own food instead of relying upon a handout from the occupying forces.
And the Morgenthau plan just faded, because it had been totally impractical for
an occupying power to be in a country and try to govern it in the state of
disorder that would have resulted.
MCKINZIE: Did Robert Murphy
seem to be impressed by what you were telling him about the possibilities of
inflation and other problems?
KNAPP: Yes. He was a
political officer and he didn't have much interest in, or professional
competence in, economics, but he could understand the logic of that situation.
I didn't really convince anyone, and I don't think it was Murphy that convinced
anyone; people were convinced by events and by the really disastrous
implications of the laissez-faire, do-nothing policy. You had to put people
back to work, because if people weren't back to
[62]
work they were rioting in the
streets, and then you'd have to bring in GI's to knock heads and keep people
quiet. In those days there was another very serious threat -- the medical
officers were frightened of the consequences in terms of disease. The American
troops in occupation couldn't be immunized against all the diseases and plagues
which were feared if there was not some restoration of economic order.
Well, this was all a very
chaotic time. We were trying to write rules and regulations and make contact
with some Germans who could be put in positions of responsibility. You have to
bear in mind that all the Germans of responsibility had been swept away because
it was a Nazi administration. Then you had to find people that could be
trusted in civilian capacities -- starting at the level of municipal
government, starting at the level of administration of the railways, starting
at the level of
[63]
the administration of the power
companies.
MCKINZIE: Did you approve
the business of impounding the people of responsibility who had been members of
the Nazi Party? I know that other areas, people who were in Agriculture for
example, found it was very difficult to carry on, because people who knew how
to carry on were carried off.
KNAPP: Basically, there was
a rotten crowd that had been put in charge. True, they had learned their
trade, and they were doing the business, but it was a rotten crowd. They had
to be displaced, and there were a lot of heads and eggs that had to be broken.
I, myself, think that the war
crimes trials and all that were perfectly understandable in the spirit of the
time. But if you look at it all in retrospect, I'm not so sure that we had the
moral right to condemn people to death or life imprisonment. But in terms of
getting
[64]
experienced people, the
argument was made everyday; "If you want to get the railroads running, put
back the longtime member of the Nazi Party, and forget that identified with the
slave labor practices and all the rest of it." There's a trade-off here,
but at some point you just have to say, "Well, let's get rid of that gang
and see if eve can find some decent people to put in charge."
I was reassigned back to the
States in August, 1945, so I was only in Europe for a period of eight or nine
months, and in Germany itself for just a period of five months. I came back to
work in the State Department and at that time was approached by my old friends
in the Federal Reserve, who said, "Well, now that the war is over, we've
got a lot of postwar problems and postwar functions to discharge in which the
Federal Reserve has an important role." In particular, what had happened
in the
[65]
interval was that the Bretton
Woods Act had been passed by the United States Congress, approving the United
States adherence to and support for the International Monetary Fund and the
World Bank. There had also been established, by legislation, a so-called
National Advisory Council, which was supposed to manage United States
international financial policies, and in particular to provide the instructions
to the United States executive director in the Monetary Fund and in the World
Bank and coordinate the United States overseas lending activities of the
Export-Import Bank and by other agencies of Government. This council was set
up with the Secretary of the Treasury as the Chairman, and the other members
were the Secretary of Commerce, the Secretary of State (I should have mentioned
him second because he was the ranking member under the Secretary of the
Treasury, who was chairman), and the chairman of the Federal Reserve
[66]
Board. Marriner Eccles, who
was at that time the chairman of the Federal Reserve Board and with whom I had
had very happy relations in my previous incarnation in the Federal Reserve,
asked me to come back as his personal assistant for international affairs,
specifically to assist him in discharging his role as a member of the National
Advisory Council. There was at that time no International Department in the
Federal Reserve system; the international work was incorporated in the Research
Department and was a sort of a sub-branch of that. So I decided to return to
the Federal Reserve and to resume my career there.
I was established first in
this role of personal assistant to the chairman, and then they finally decided
that the importance of this work deserved setting up a separate International
Department, and I was the first director of this Department.
The senior man in the Federal
Reserve system in the international field, who had been my boss,
[67]
Walter Gardner, left at about
the same time to join the International Monetary Fund. It was when he left
that I took over and they created this new International Department.
I'd like to say just a few
words at this point about Marriner Eccles, because I think he was one of the
most fabulous figures of Washington in that era. Marriner Eccles came from a
Mormon family in Salt Lake City, and he was something like the 23rd child of
his father, who had various wives. His father apparently always said,
"Well, I'm glad I kept going because Marriner was my greatest boy."
He became a banker in Salt Lake and then came into prominence when he came to
Washington in 1933 to testify before committees of the new Congress as to what
to do about the dismal state of the Nation, then in the depths of the
depression with the collapse of the banks, the banking holiday, and all that.
All the big moguls from the banking world came
[68]
down from New York and from
Boston and testified before the Congress as to what should be done to restore
the banking system. (I'm dramatizing this a little and I wasn't a personal
participant in these events.) But here came Marriner Eccles out of Salt Lake,
Utah, and apparently he made such an extraordinary impression that just over
night he became a Washington celebrity. He was promptly appointed as Assistant
Secretary of the Treasury, and then Roosevelt asked him to take over as the
chairman of the Federal Reserve Board.
Marriner Eccles was a most
remarkable man; he was totally unschooled (he might have gone through high
school), and at a very early stage in his life, 18 or so, he embarked, as every
good Mormon, upon a missionary life. Every Mormon has to spend a certain
number of years of his life on missionary work, and he went to Edinburgh,
Scotland, because he was of Scottish
[69]
origin. I remember him
telling me how he lived in some ghetto area in Edinburgh or Glasgow.
The support he got from the
church was an absolute pittance, and there he was for some two or three years
passing out pamphlets for the Mormon Church. His father was a big landowner
and sheepowner, and when he came back to Salt Lake he went into a business
career. By the time he came to Washington, he was president of the bank which
was controlled by his family in Salt Lake City. He was almost illiterate in
the sense that his span of attention would not permit him to read any
substantial piece of paper. I'm exaggerating a little bit; that was more in
his first days. By the time I got into association with him, I'm sure he could
read the newspaper and read memoranda, but the way he really learned things was
by people talking to him. He had a magnificent capacity to absorb things and
understand them, and to have insights into complicated issues.
[70]
He had extraordinary
instincts and insights. (I say "he had;" he's still alive, though
quite elderly now.) He was a fascinating type to work with, and we had somehow
hit it off from the first so I was his confidant and personal assistant in this
work of the National Advisory Council in the years immediately following the
war.
We had some very interesting
things to deal with. Of course, the Monetary Fund was getting set up and the
Bank was getting set up, but the things that I particularly remember with
interest were the postwar financial negotiations on several subjects.
There was the liquidation of
lend-lease. During the war vast supplies had been provided to the Allies, including
the Soviet Union, under the so-called Lend-Lease Act, and everything was left
open about how that was all going to be settled after the war. There ensued
some very important negotiations after the war with the
[71]
various nations, including
the Soviet Union, regarding these so-called lend-lease obligations. To make a
long story short, the lend-lease obligations were wound up on extremely
generous terms; the general concept was that we would forget about anything
that had been shot, consumed, or destroyed. The lend-lease negotiations had to
do with the other remaining values of stocks that had been delivered under
lend-lease. It was agreed that a valuation should be placed upon those stocks
and that they should be the subject of repayment over a very long term and at
liberal interest rates.
Parallel with these
negotiations on lend-lease were negotiations on military surpluses which were
held abroad. The U.S. Army, operating generally with a pretty huge pipeline of
supplies, had immense stocks piled up all over Europe, stocks that were of
peacetime value: trucks, blankets, foodstuffs, textiles. There were
[72]
billions of dollars worth,
even in those days when the dollar was worth more than it is today, of stocks
that it ,just wasn't worth turning around and shipping back home. Again, we
had to reach a settlement with respect to these amounts. First we had to get a
valuation placed on them, and the valuation was generally pretty generous to
the European countries.
Well, aside from the
liquidation of these claims and properties that were hanging over from the
wartime, it became quite apparent that the World Bank wasn't going to be able
to pick up the main load of reconstruction requirements in Europe; and the
Marshall plan hadn't yet been conceived. In this interim period negotiations
were undertaken with various countries to provide loans from the United States
for reconstruction purposes, and the key country was the United Kingdom. The British
organized a very high level and special mission that came to Washington
[73]
under the chairmanship of
Lord Keynes to negotiate a postwar reconstruction loan. These discussions with
the British extended, however, far beyond financial assistance and into the
field of the organization of postwar international trade. The United States
and Britain were the two principal world trading nations, and it was logical,
perhaps, that these two nations should commence the discussions about how
postwar trade was to be organized. What was to be done about the quotas and
restrictions on trade which had grown up during the war and in the immediate
postwar period, due to the fact that most nations outside the United States
were in extremely difficult circumstances and had to impose very severe
controls upon imports?
So, the question of how to
dismantle this system of controls and how to develop a long-run international
trade system was a second subject of these Anglo-U.S. discussions which
[74]
was equal in importance to
the loan negotiations, and in the long run perhaps more significant. This was
all coordinated by the National Advisory Council. The State Department, where
Will Clayton was the Assistant Secretary for Economic Affairs, conducted the
trade discussions, and the financial discussions were conducted by the Treasury
and the Federal Reserve. Then from time to time there would be group meetings
in which the trade people and the financial people would be brought together
for common discussion, trying to integrate the financial settlement with the
trade settlement.
For example, the United
States interest was to dismantle controls. The United States wanted to export,
and particularly they wanted to export their agricultural products. The
British, as one example, had introduced pervasive and intricate controls with
respect to all their external trade, affecting especially the importation
[75]
of agricultural commodities,
with very heavy protection for British agriculture.
So, the logic of the U.S.
position was that if the United States was going to provide finance to Britain
on a large scale, Britain should dismantle these controls and open their market
to more free international trade.
I was concerned particularly
with the British loan discussions. This was really a fascinating negotiation.
Just consider who the representatives were. On the British side we had Lord
Keynes and the British Ambassador in Washington, Lord Halifax. Lord Halifax
was the very epitome of the British aristocracy. He had come from the very
highest order of the British nobility; he was an aristocrat to his fingertips.
Keynes, by comparison, was a new arrival. Keynes came from middle class
origins, but Keynes was also an intellectual of the highest brilliance. He
spoke the English language with magnificent
[76]
articulation. And these two
Lords, Lord Halifax and Lord Keynes, were coming to Washington as supplicants,
essentially, for aid.
Well, the principals on the
United States' side were Fred Vinson, Secretary of the Treasury of the United
States; and Will Clayton, the Assistant Secretary of State. Now, Fred Vinson
was a former semiprofessional baseball player. He had come up through
politics, he had been a member of Congress; a very shrewd cookie, a very tough
negotiator, and a rough and tumble politician. Just as an example, when we
would have meetings in his office, with Lord Halifax and Lord Keynes across the
table in all their British elegance of speech and dress, Fred Vinson, chewing
tobacco all the time, would occasionally clear his throat and let go into a
spittoon at the side of his desk. It was an incredible contrast of traditions,
cultures, and people.
Now, Will Clayton was another
type out of
[77]
the same earthy American
mold. Will Clayton had started life as a court stenographer and had no formal
education. I don't know whether he ever went to high school, I doubt it;
certainly not to college. But he trained in shorthand, became a court stenographer,
and worked for years in the courts in Texas. By this time, of course, he had
far outgrown that early beginning. Somehow he had got into the cotton business
and built up the Anderson-Clayton Trading Company in Houston, Texas, which had
made him a multi-millionaire and a very worldly man, but still a man who
obviously came from common clay.
This was quite a
confrontation of the old world and the new world. And bear in mind that all
the cards were in the hands of Vinson and Clayton because of the position of
the United States. It had emerged virtually unscathed from the war physically,
with a tremendous buildup of its industrial power, and with an agricultural
output that made it
[78]
virtually the granary of the
world. This meant that the Americans had tremendous power and authority. So,
it was a rather unequal contest in terms of the cards that were in their hands,
although Keynes and Halifax played their cards with consummate ability.
Well, these negotiations on
the loan had to do with the amount of the loan and with the financial terms;
the period of repayment, the terms of amortization, and the interest rate.
They also had to do with the dismantling of the British system of exchange and
trade controls, including very importantly, the dismantling of the imperial
preference system, which the British had built up even before the war in the
depression years and maintained during the war. The British Commonwealth
included a great many of the important trading nations of the world, such as
Canada, Australia, New Zealand, South Africa, and India. These were all under
the
[79]
system of what was called
imperial preference. It was a closed trading society in which the nations of
the Commonwealth had virtually free trade back and forth among themselves, but
with high walls of tariff protection, quotas, and restrictions against external
trade. The United States saw its interest in breaking down the imperial
preference system and opening up these countries to American trade and American
exports. So, these issues were negotiated simultaneously with the British
loan, and -- to put it bluntly -- the British loan was used as a lever to pry
open this restrictive system that the British had adopted and to open up new
opportunities for American foreign trade.
The negotiations were
eventually successful. On the trade side lots of concessions were made and it
was agreed that, like the Monetary Fund in the monetary and financial field,
there should be set up an international
[80]
authority in the field of international
trade, to regulate tariffs, quotas, and other instruments of trade
restriction. It was agreed in principle that there should be established a
so-called International Trade Organization, ITO. And a year or so later the
U.S. and the U.K. jointly invited the rest of the trading nations of the world
to come to a conference in Havana, Cuba, to draw up a charter for international
trade. Indeed, it was a very ambitious charter, and it extended out not only
to international trade but to international investment. A code of conduct was
laid down with respect to international investment. Investors, on the one
side, were to respect the laws and traditions of the recipient country, the
so-called host country; the host country, on the other hand, was to provide
free access, and to undertake not to discriminate against, and certainly not to
expropriate foreign investments that came to
[81]
their soil unless fair
compensation was paid.
This ITO charter is another
chapter, and I didn't have much to do with it myself. Suffice it to say that a
far-reaching charter was negotiated at Havana, Cuba, but it never came into
being; it was never ratified and it never became effective.
MCKINZIE: As I recall, the
British asked originally for six billion dollars and they finally got three and
three quarters billion. They contended that they needed the six billion to
restore British industry and the whole British economy to normality because of
the devastation of the war. Well, someone who is not sophisticated in matters
of economics might say, "If they computed that it took six billion dollars
to do that, and they only got slightly more than half of it, then obviously
they couldn't undertake the task of reconstruction. Therefore, by giving them
less than what they needed, it was simply a stopgap
[82]
measure, and the crisis of
the British economy was simply postponed." Was there any validity in that
sort of argument?
KNAPP: Oh, yes. After all,
it was the Marshall plan that came on later to provide some 18 billion dollars,
and I dare say the British share in that was four or five, so that this initial
British loan has to be regarded as ,just a tiding over. They did ask for more;
there was very hard bargaining on the amount, and they always kept saying:
"Now, if you're expecting us to dismantle all these controls, we can't do
it unless we are assured that we have the money to import the volume of imports
which will be required in a market unprotected by tariffs, quotas, and so
on." That's why no really conclusive agreement was reached at the time of
the British loan discussions on trade policy, although a very important
foundation was laid for the eventual ITO discussions. But then the
[83]
ITO discussions themselves
finally foundered.
Let me go on to say that
after these British loan discussions were concluded, the next customer to
arrive in Washington was the French, and the French delegation was led by
another extraordinary figure, Leon Blum. I don't know what capacity he had in
the French Government at that time. He was an outstanding figure in postwar
France. He was of Jewish origin, and I guess he had gone underground during
the war. I don't remember that he actually emigrated
during the German occupation,
but he had been no part of the [Henri Philippe] Petain government. Although he
was Jewish by race, I always think of him as the very embodiment of French
culture; an elegant man with very elegant speech. And so he was the next to
arrive with his plea for assistance, and there were not nearly such long and
extensive negotiations. International trade policy played a much lesser part,
because
[84]
the French role in
international trade was very minor as compared with the British, particularly as
compared with the British Commonwealth system. But I always think of Leon Blum
as one of the most outstanding personalities that I've had an opportunity to
meet. My personal participation in the British loan discussions was, as it
happens, very extensive, but in the case of the French loan, it was over more
quickly. The British loan, to a certain extent, had set a pattern and the
French talks were concluded with a lesser amount, but with also very liberal
terms.
I didn't mention that the
British negotiations involved a lot of discussion as to what period of
repayment and what interest rate would be suitable for the occasion. I can't
quote the exact terms, but the British loan was made for, I think, a period of
35 or 40 years at an interest rate of something like 2 or 2-1/2 percent. Bear
[85]
in mind that that was in
another world when interest rates in general were very low, and yet obviously
that was a very lenient interest rate. Furthermore, there were provisions for
interest to be forgiven in certain years or postponed in certain years if the
British economy fell into special difficulties -- and similarly with the French
loan. These loans were on very liberal terms, and represented at that time a
major concession and gesture by the United States toward the reconstruction of
the European economies. They are not to be compared with the Marshall plan;
they were, after all, loans, and not as generous as the subsequent Marshall
plan aid, which was provided very largely on a grant basis.
MCKINZIE: Mr. Knapp, were
there studies of the ability of these nations to repay the loans?
KNAPP: Oh, yes, but they
usually came to pretty pessimistic conclusions. For example, nobody had
[86]
any idea that all the
assistance that was provided to Germany under military occupation would ever be
collectible. There were vast amounts of food supplies and raw material
supplies that were all just written off.
That does take me forward a
bit to the Marshall plan, and I would like to say something about that. I was
still at the Federal Reserve when the Marshall plan was inaugurated by the
speech at Harvard University by General Marshall. Dean Acheson was the
intellectual author of the Marshall plan and had a large hand in drafting that
speech, and what it said, in effect, was, "We, the United States, have
come to recognize that we have a very great economic interest, as well as a
political interest, in the restoration of the economies of the war-devastated
countries in Europe. We would be prepared," said General Marshall, without
a shadow of authority from anybody and certainly not from the U.S. Congress,
which
[87]
eventually had to provide the
money, "to enter upon negotiations with the European community" (this
included the British as well, but not the Germans, who were still under
occupation) "provided they will get together and draw up a long term plan
of reconstruction." The ball was thrown right across the Atlantic for the
Europeans to get together and draw up this plan.
The response in Europe was
very rapid and very positive. It was obviously positive, but it was
surprisingly how rapidly a meeting was called in Paris of the European
countries to draw up a plan for reconstruction. Marshall's offer included the
Soviet Union as well, and the Soviet Union was invited to Paris to participate
in the drawing up of these reconstruction plans.
It was like the earlier story
of the Bretton Woods Conference. The Soviet Union participated, sent a
delegation, but soon after that they faded out of the picture. This was about
the time of
[88]
the Iron Curtain speech,
Winston Churchill's famous speech, in which he saw the Iron Curtain ringing
down over Europe. The Soviet Union withdrew. There were all these problems in
Germany where the quadripartite administration was collapsing, and the Soviet
Union eventually took no part in the Marshall plan. But the nations of Western
Europe -- and by that I mean the British, the French, the Italians, the
Belgians, the Dutch, and the Scandinavian countries -- assembled and drew up a plan
of action. The chairman of the working committee that drew up the Marshall
plan in Europe was Oliver Franks. Oliver Franks was a very outstanding British
civil servant who had a wonderful career during the war that I can't detail,
but in the postwar period he became one of the outstanding British negotiators
and statesmen. He subsequently came to serve in Washington as Ambassador, but
at this stage he was sort of the intellectual creator of the
[89]
European reconstruction plan
that had been demanded by Marshall as a condition of United States aid.
Well, after this plan was
presented by the European authorities, a committee was organized in Washington
under the chairmanship of the State Department (I served as the Federal Reserve
representative) to draw up an analysis of the European plan. I was only in the
first phase because the job rapidly got taken over by the State Department; it
wasn't anything that could be run by an interdepartmental committee. They
prepared the legislation that went to the Congress, and when the Congress voted
the funds the Marshall Plan Organization was established in the United States,
of which Paul Hoffman became the head and Averell Harriman became the European
representative. I then ceased to have any personal role in the administration
of the Marshall plan.
[90]
MCKINZIE: There was, of
course, the question, even then on that committee, of exactly how much it would
take.
KNAPP: Well, there was the
question of how much it would take to do the job, and also on what terms this
aid should be provided.
We were all convinced that
the bulk of this aid would have to be provided on a grant basis. The World
Bank has said that these countries were not creditworthy. We couldn't properly
lend them money, and it would have to be put on a grant basis. Much was made
of the earlier experiences with the war debts following World War I, when
obligations had been put on European countries which they were never able to
pay. It was said, "This is just not a bankable business," so we made
the British loan and the French loan, but after that there wasn't thought to be
any hope of collecting any money off these people. One aspect of this matter
that I had a hand in
[91]
arose when some people said,
"Well, okay, if you give them food, clothing, or raw materials that are
going to be consumed, you can't expect them to pay. That's eaten up, that's
burned up, that's incorporated in things that are not of long term productive
nature. But if you give them steel mills, if you give them tractors, or
if you give them textile plants, then they ought to be able to pay for that
because these are productive resources." I wrote a key memorandum for the
original interdepartmental committee to demonstrate the fallacy of that
approach. When you come to think about it, it doesn't make any sense. These
countries were going to get, as they finally did get, some 18 billion dollars
of assistance from the United States. During that period they probably bought
in the United States (I'll just pick a figure out of the air), 40 billion
dollars worth of things, of which they paid for 22 billion dollars out of the
proceeds of their own exports.
[92]
Now, if you say you're going
to give them food and clothing and raw materials as a grant, and you're going
to give them tractors and steel mills as a loan, what's going to happen?
They're going to pay for the tractors and the steel mills out of their own
money, and they're going to ask for the food and the raw materials as a grant.
The creditworthiness of
countries has to be determined on the basis of their total capacity to service
debt, rather than according to what particular commodities they're going to
receive under an aid program.
We have this same argument, I
might say, in the field of development, because people will say sometimes that
if you're providing assistance for, let's say education, it ought to be a
grant, whereas if you're supporting a project for a steel mill it ought to be a
loan. There aren't many funds available for grants these days,
[93]
but there are funds for soft
loans and for hard loans; so, they say that you should make a soft loan for
education, and a hard loan for a steel mill. Upon analysis that doesn't really
make sense. The question is what kind of a country you're dealing with.
If a country is fully creditworthy and fully bankable, it can pay for a loan
for education as well as it can pay for a loan on a steel mill. The steel mill,
you might say, earns its own way and generates revenues, but so does education.
If you educate people, it builds up their talents and their income earning
capacity, and that means their taxable capacity. Governments can borrow and
repay an educational loan out of the revenues they eventually get out of taxing
better educated people earning a higher income.
On the other hand, if you've
got a steel mill project in a completely broken-down country, it's no good
arguing that this steel mill is going to be productive. If this country has a
[94]
disastrous overall balance of
payments and resource position, then it won't be able to generate the foreign
exchange necessary to repay a loan, even for a steel mill. I'm not sure I've
expressed this very well, but my general approach is to say that the question
of whether you lend hard money or soft money should depend upon the country
that you're dealing with and its overall capacity to mobilize resources and
make repayment, not upon the particular nature of the project.
So, this same issue came up
in the Marshall plan when we were talking about the kinds of commodities we
were going to deliver to the European countries. The judgment was that, with a
few exceptions, these countries were never going to be able to repay.
We went through the same
thing with the vast American aid that was supplied to Japan in the early days.
Nobody had any idea that the Japanese economy could recover as it has
recovered,
[95]
and would arrive at a state
where it would not only recover equilibrium, but go on to generate surpluses
and service large foreign loans. Of course, that's what has happened also in
the case of Germany, and indeed most of the European countries. But at the
time people were dominated by the near-term prospects, and couldn't summon up
the imagination to envisage how, over a period of decades, the condition of a
country could be transformed.
When I was standing in Essen
at the end of the war and saw the whole of the Krupp works going up in flames,
it never occurred to me that within ten years Germany would approach
self-sufficiency and that within 20 years they would become, as they have
become, one of the richest and most dominating countries in the field of
international trade and finance.
MCKINZIE: I've heard it
stated that the amount of money determined by the committee you sat on, the
[96]
one that dealt with the CEEC
plan, was based as much upon what they thought the Congress would appropriate
as it was upon actual assessment of what Europe needed for recovery. Is there
any truth to that?
KNAPP: Yes, I think so. I
don't recall the exact figures, but I don't think anybody on the U.S. side
talked initially about the 18 billion dollar figure that eventually emerged. I
think the focus in the original discussion was upon the requirements for maybe
the first three-year period. I do have some recollection that the European
figure seemed to be so staggeringly large that it had to be cut back, but I
don't think it was eventually cut back very much, say from about 24 billion to
18. What seems to me the most remarkable thing was not that the 24 was cut to 18,
but that the U.S. Congress faced up to 18, which even by today's standards is a
fantastic amount. I believe I'm right in saying that during
[97]
those Marshall plan years,
the U.S. was devoting something like 4 or 5 percent of its GNP to external aid,
and of course, today the figure's a fraction of 1 percent, about .25 percent.
Now we're getting off on the question of aid to developing countries, which is
a little different in terms of U.S. national interest than the reconstruction
of Europe, or the reconstruction of Japan. But today, the highest expectations
and highest demands by the developing countries are that the industrialized
countries of the West, the rich countries, should devote 1 percent of their GNP
to development assistance to the poorer countries. In the Marshall plan years,
the United States made a vastly greater effort, proportionately, but again for
a purpose which was far more clearly in its political and economic interest.
MCKINZIE: Mr. Knapp, I
wonder if you could say something about your knowledge of the Soviet request
[98]
for a loan that came at the
end of the war.
KNAPP: Well, I speak with a
little hesitancy about this because it's a chapter of the history of that
particular period which is pretty obscure. Along about the same time that
these requests were forthcoming from the British and the French, and you might
say more or less out of the blue, there did come into the U.S. Government,
through the State Department, a note from the Soviet Union asking for a loan of
a billion dollars.
Now, this was already at a
time when things were getting pretty tense in relationships between East and
West, particularly in Germany. It was at a time when the lend-lease
negotiations with the Soviet Union had just about collapsed. There were very
substantial lend-lease supplies, of course, to the Soviet Union, and we were
again following the same principle of asking repayment only for those goods and
assets which remained intact at the end of the war. We weren't asking
[99]
for any repayment on things
that had been burned up, shot up, or eaten up. This is a matter I did have something
to do with during my time in the State Department. We had tried to get some
negotiations going with the Soviets on the lend-lease "bill" as we
called it. Of course, in the first place, it was almost impossible to get any
facts, but we drew up a bill of what we thought they still had in the way of
stocks that were left over from the lend-lease deliveries. We then submitted a
bill to them, but they were never prepared to discuss it. It just got lost in
the whole deterioration of relationships that followed in the years after the
war.
I can tell you this about the
earlier Soviet request for a loan; that the NAC never functioned in the
matter. It just got buried somewhere in the recesses of the State Department.
The British and French loans were financed through special legislation for the
U.S. Treasury, but I
[100]
think the Soviet request was
for a line of credit with the Export-Import Bank.
Anyway, all I remember about
it is that everybody knew that it had come in and nobody knew what had happened
to it. I dare say if there had been a more successful and reasonable
discussion of the lend-lease bill -- even in the deteriorating relationships --
it would have set the stage for a billion dollar loan.
I can't really say much more
about it than that. It was mysterious at the time what had really happened to
it, and it's more mysterious to me after a lapse of 25 years.
MCKINZIE: Why did the
National Advisory Council sort of fade out of prominence? It appeared that in
1945 or early 1946 the National Advisory Council seemed to have the ear of the
President. It was in the top agency or interagency group in the Government
dealing with these matters. Then, somehow in the next year or two, it
significantly
[101]
declined. Do you have any
comment on that?
KNAPP: No, I can't really
explain that. But just to relate it to my personal history, I left the Federal
Reserve in 1948, after a couple of years there. Eccles, as chairman of the
Federal Reserve Board, was a member of the National Advisory Council. Under
the National Advisory Council was a so-called staff committee, and each of the
principals named a member of his staff. I was the member representing the
Federal Reserve on the NAC staff committee. The member for the State
Department at the National Advisory Council was nominally the Secretary of
State, but either for reasons of dignity or just because he was too busy, he
practically never attended meetings and he designated as his representative the
Assistant Secretary of State. Will Clayton had graduated from that position,
moved upstairs to become Under Secretary, and the Assistant Secretary was
Willard Thorp. Willard Thorp, in 1948,
[102]
offered me the job of coming
over to the State Department as director, under him, of a so-called Office of
Financial and Development Policy. One of the functions of that officer was to
serve as the State Department member of the NAC staff committee. I took that
job and I just shifted chairs in the NAC staff committee from being the Federal
Reserve representative to the State Department representative. That was the
last job that I had in the U.S. Government before I joined the World Bank, and
I served there again for about two years. At the end of '49 I finally moved
over to the World Bank.
I consider that up until the
end of '49, still only a short period after the war, the NAC and the NAC staff
committee was kind of in command of the foreign financial policy of the United
States. Even after I was in the World Bank, the U.S. director in the World
Bank was subject to the guidance of the National Advisory
[103]
Council, so I wasn't very far
removed from it. It's quite right that the whole thing in time deteriorated.
It probably had something to do with the basic relationships between Treasury
and State. As long as they were close and cooperative, the NAC functioned.
But to the extent that they moved apart and became rivals, the NAC council
deteriorated in its effectiveness. It may have something to do also with the
fact that the big issues of international finance moved out of the hands of the
U.S. Government and moved into the international agencies, the Inter Fund and
the International Bank lending activities of the United States moved over to
the Export-Import Bank, which became more autonomous and independent. Things
like the British loan and the French loan were made by the U.S. Government
directly through the Treasury. After that, the Marshall plan and the
assistance under the Marshall plan was heavily dominated by
[104]
the State Department. They
didn't want to have the NAC involved. The Marshall plan was very much in the
hands of the State Department, or rather, of a semi-independent agency which
came to be called the Economic Cooperation Administration, or ECA. It was
closely linked with the State Department, and they probably didn't want to have
much Treasury influence in that operation. Hence the NAC, of which the
Secretary of Treasury is the chairman, began to get downgraded.
[105]
Second Oral History Interview with J. Burke Knapp, Bethesda,
Maryland, July 30, 1975. By Richard D. McKinzie, Harry S. Truman Library.
KNAPP: I'd like to go back
to the negotiations we held with the British regarding a loan to Britain for
postwar reconstruction. Lord Keynes was the head of the British delegation,
and I have mentioned earlier what an overwhelming personality he was; a
tremendously elegant intellect, with, of course, an immense reputation as an
economist. During one of the discussions that we had in the Treasury
Department, we had the British delegation lined up on one side of the table,
with Keynes presiding, and the U.S. delegation on the other side. One of the
problems that had come up related to the conditions under which the United
States might be obliged to forego payments of interest on the loan.
Now, the British maintained
that if their economic situation and balance of payments deteriorated to a
certain point, as measured
[106]
by various criteria, they
should be entitled to a waiver of the interest payments due. This was finally
accepted in principle, but there was a long and involved debate about just how
to formulate these conditions. At a certain juncture we had had an overnight
adjournment. Keynes came back "full of beans" the next morning and
said that he had worked out a formula which might be used to determine whether
this waiver of interest payments would be granted or not. He proceeded in a
most effective and articulate presentation to present his formula, which had
all kinds of numerators, denominators, and sections. After expounding this at
some length, he finished and looked across the table to a slightly stunned
audience, which was trying to figure out the ramifications of this formula. To
everybody's surprise, since I was a relatively junior member of this
delegation, I spoke up and said, "Sir, in that Section IV of your formula,
[107]
don't you have the numerator
and the denominator reversed?" I'll never forget it. He started looking
at me almost scornfully, and then suddenly a kind of light dawned on his
countenance and he broke out into a broad smile. I received from him (which at
that time I took as quite an accolade) a sudden glance of great appreciation.
He said, "By jove, you're right." He turned around to his aides, and
said, "Has that cable gone off to London?"
And they said, "Yes, it
has."
And he said, "Well, call
it back; we've got to change it." Once he had appreciated the point, he
was very generous in thanking me for having called this to his attention. He
said that this was a stupid mistake, and was rebuking his aides who had allowed
him to send the cable off in that form.
I never had that close a
personal association with this great man, but I do cherish the memory
[108]
of the time when he took a
point from me and took it with immense grace and appreciation.
Well, let me proceed to the
next chapter of my professional career. Toward the end of 1948 I left the
Federal Reserve Board again to go to work for the State Department as the
director of what they called the Office of Finance and Development Policy.
General Marshall was the Secretary of State at the time; Bob Lovett was his
very distinguished Under Secretary; and as Assistant Secretary they had a very
distinguished economist, Willard Thorp. Willard Thorp had long represented the
State Department on the National Advisory Council, and we'd become acquainted,
since I had been serving as the Federal Reserve member of the National Advisory
Council staff committee. He invited me to move over to the State Department
and continue this work on the National Advisory Council staff committee. I
found, although I had great loyalty to the Federal Reserve
[109]
Board, that there was a
change taking place at that time. Marriner Eccles, the chairman of the Federal
Reserve Board, with whom I had been very close, was just retiring. The move
opened up exciting possibilities, and I undertook to take on this new job.
Willard Thorp had as his
deputy Paul Nitze, who subsequently went on to hold very distinguished
positions in the State Department and in the Defense Department. Under Willard
Thorp and Paul Nitze there were two main offices. There was the Office of
Commercial Policy, which handled all affairs relating to international trade,
commodity agreements, and such matters and then there was the Office of Finance
and Development policy, which was concerned with such matters as the U.S.
activities in the International Monetary Fund and the World Bank, the
administration of the Export-Import Bank and other foreign lending agencies of
the Government, and generally anything in the international economic field that
had to do
[110]
with financial matters or
economic development.
I spent only about a year on
this job and during that year an emergency arose which came to occupy, I should
judge, something like a third to a half of my time. This emergency was the
Berlin blockade. Now, it was somewhat anomalous that I had these extensive
administrative responsibilities for a wide range of matters in the State
Department, and yet got tagged as the United States economic and financial
expert on the problems arising out of the Berlin blockade. Given the emergency
conditions at the time, I simply had to give this top priority.
The Berlin blockade was, of
course, essentially a political and a strategic move by the Soviet Union to try
to make things difficult for the Western Powers and eventually to try to
incorporate Berlin in the Eastern zone of Germany. But, oddly enough, the
crisis was precipitated by issues having to do with the currency and trade of
Berlin vis-a-vis the world outside.
[111]
Berlin was set up as the
capital of the whole of Germany, which was supposed to be governed by the
quadripartite administration of the four powers. In 1948 a monetary reform was
introduced in Germany. Within the three Western zones of Germany the old
currency was withdrawn and a new West German currency was issued. There had
been an attempt to introduce this monetary reform throughout the whole of Germany,
and to have a unified currency in the whole of Germany. But this had failed in
long, tedious, and painful negotiations with the Russians, and it had failed
essentially over the question of who was going to control supply of the
currency. The difficulty was that under a quadripartite administration, powers
had a veto over any action when you come to the question currency and the
support of the banking system, you risk serious economic disorder. You can't
have lying in the hands of one party a
[112]
veto over any effective
action.
So the Western Powers finally
decided they had to introduce their own currency (the West mark) in the Western
zones, and the Soviet Union, as the administrator of the Eastern zone,
countered by the introduction of an East mark. That left open, however, the
question of Berlin, which was an enclave in the Eastern zone of Germany. It
was the proposal of the Soviet Union that the East mark be introduced into the
whole of Berlin. This was unacceptable to the Western Powers, who felt that
the currency might not be available when it was needed by industry and trade in
the Western sectors of Berlin. On the other hand, this currency could be so
badly administered that it might lead to a rampant inflation; this would be
equally damaging to the economy of West Berlin. It was very important to keep
the economy of West Berlin going because on that depended the employment and
the welfare
[113]
of people who were the
responsibility of the Western Powers. Hence when the Russians announced
unilaterally that they were going to introduce the East mark in the Eastern
sector of Berlin, thus effectively destroying the quadripartite administration
of the city, the Western Powers responded by introducing the West mark in the
Western sectors.
This issue of the status of
Berlin in the monetary reform, and the associated problems about how to finance
the trade of Berlin with both the Soviet zone of Germany and the Western zones,
were the immediate occasion which precipitated the Berlin blockade.
I won't go through the story
about the blockade itself and the airlift, which is common knowledge. Suffice
it to say at this point that it was a very dangerous crisis in the relations
between East and West, with the threat of a breakout of hostilities at any
time. The United States,
[114]
rather than try to break the
blockade by land action which would have meant the outright use of force,
decided to meet the problem of the blockade by the airlift. You could fly a
plane from Frankfurt into Berlin without any overt use of force; force would be
needed to stop it. The Soviet Union did not challenge the airlift by force,
partly because they thought that it could never succeed. It was, of course, a
major logistical undertaking to supply the food and the coal and all the
requirements of the Western sectors of the city of Berlin through this airlift.
Now, the United States and
the Western Powers, Britain and France, took the position that they were not
going to negotiate about Berlin with a gun at their head. They weren't going
to negotiate under duress. But whereas that was the formal position, in fact
discussions began soon after the blockade was established, to see if through
secret channels and contacts some
[115]
way could be found out of
this impasse relating to Berlin currency and trade.
Then the issue was taken up
by the United Nations Security Council, or rather by the chairman of the
Council at the time, the foreign minister of Argentina, Mr. [Carl Valdemar]
Bramuglia, who was anxious to make headlines for himself. He announced that he
was going to take it upon himself to find a solution. He nominated a
"mediator" a distinguished Canadian civil servant, Norman Robertson,
who was assisted by Charles Ritchie and Ed Ritchie (no relation), both of whom
later served as Canadian Ambassadors in Washington. They in turn brought in a
team of experts consisting of the top secretariat of the Economic Commission
for Europe in Geneva. This was an agency that had been set up by the United
Nations to Coordinate economic relations in Europe, but its function had been
largely displaced in Western Europe by the Organization of European Economic
Cooperation
[116]
in Paris that was set up
under the Marshall plan. The ECE kept working away in Geneva, however, with
particular interest in East-West relationships. The executive secretary of the
Economic Commission for Europe at the time was Gunnar Myrdal, a very well-known
Swedish economist; his deputy was Nicholas Kaldor, a British professor of
economics; and their principal technical assistant at the time was an American,
Walt Rostow. All these men have had very interesting subsequent careers, and
their names are probably familiar to most students of international economics
of these days.
Well, the
Myrdal-Kaldor-Orstow group set themselves up in Geneva and began to commence
studies as to how the Berlin problem might be resolved. They came up with the
bright idea that the way to resolve it was to set up a new central bank for
Berlin, which would administer its own currency (a Berlin mark). The problem,
however, was just in microcosm the same problem
[117]
that had arisen for the whole
of Germany. With the Eastern and Western Powers having such disparate
interests in economic and financial matters, how could you run a central bank
in Berlin on a basis that would assure the healthy and sound growth of the
economy of the Western sectors of Berlin? How could you prevent a wild
inflation on the one hand or such close currency controls that the monetary and
banking system of West Berlin would be suppressed? Therefore, we on the U.S.
side could not accept this as a negotiable proposition. I was designated to go
to secret -- extremely secret -- meetings that were held in Geneva to discuss
this plan. There was a Soviet representative, a British representative, a
French representative, and myself. Not only was this secret, but the Western
representatives were enjoined not to negotiate, not even to meet directly with
the Soviet representative. What happened was that Myrdal, etc. would prepare
draft schemes, and under Robertson's chairmanship,
[118]
they would spend a day with
the three Western representatives discussing them. Then they would have a
parallel session with the Soviet representative. The only times we ever met
together with the Soviet representative were at cocktail parties.
Now, the atmosphere at the
time in Britain and France was of great alarm over the possible consequences of
this Berlin blockade, great fear of a confrontation with the Soviet Union, and,
in short, a strong tendency to seek a compromise solution. In the end it
became my task, not only to convince Robertson and the Myrdal group that these
plans were not feasible, but also to work pretty hard on my good British and French
colleagues to maintain a common front.
I had some very interesting
meetings, in particular a meeting that I recall vividly in London. Julius
Holmes was the American minister in London at the time; Lewis Douglas, I
believe,
[119]
was the Ambassador, but I
think he was ill at the time. So, Julius Holmes took me to go over to see
Ernest Bevin, the British Foreign Secretary, and his team, to try to rally them
to a common position with us, and to try to persuade them that if we didn't
achieve a common position and just caved in to this solution being offered by
the United Nations team, it could have disastrous consequences for our position
in Berlin.
I spent a great deal of time
shuffling back and forth, consulting and getting my instructions in Washington
and talking to our Western colleagues. And all this time there was still
another dimension to it. Here was the State Department carrying out these
negotiations, but there was also the U.S. military government in Berlin, where
General Clay and his advisers were very jealous of the fact that we were
meeting off in Geneva and deciding the fate of Berlin while he was not having
any part in it.
[120]
So, this was all a very
complex pattern of different parties with different interests and, indeed, different
convictions about how this problem ought to be handled.
MCKINZIE: Did you have
contact with General Clay?
KNAPP: Oh, yes, but I never
visited Berlin during this period; my instructions were not to go to Berlin but
that Berlin was supposed to come out to us. I think the State Department was
afraid that if I went to Berlin I'd get taken into camp, because they had some
of their own ideas in Berlin of how to handle this situation.
At the Washington end, I was
advised and instructed by a group which was headed by the State Department but
included also the Treasury Department and the Pentagon. That introduced still
another dimension of complexity into the task. I used to go home and meet with
them and then draft my own instructions for the next round.
[121]
Still it was all a
fascinating experience, extending over many months. It all ended in nothing,
because to everybody's surprise the Soviet Union one day just terminated the
blockade, following certain contacts that were made in the United Nations
between Philip Jessup and the Soviet delegation there. So, we never did
achieve a solution to the very perplexing currency problem that confronted us.
We were condemned to keep stonewalling against unacceptable solutions -- the
unacceptable solution of introducing the East mark in the whole of Berlin and
the unacceptable solution -- though on the face of it it was quite appealing to
some anxious to find a compromise -- of setting up a new Berlin currency under
quadripartite control. In the end I must say that our ingenuity ran out, and
the only solution we could find was to introduce the West mark into the Western
sections of Berlin.
Going back a little bit
earlier than that, I had been involved, both at the Federal Reserve and I
believe later in the State Department,
[122]
with the West German monetary
reform itself. The proposals for the "monetary purge," as they
called it at the time, were made by a team which had been organized mainly by
the Pentagon, but with advice from the State and Treasury departments and the
Federal Reserve. They picked a distinguished team of economic experts to go to
Germany and propose what to do about monetary reform there. This team was a
very interesting group of personalities, all of whom I came to know in this and
other connections. Gerhard Colm was of German origin, a distinguished
professor of economics who at one time became the chairman of the Council of
Economic Advisors; Raymond Goldsmith was also of German origin, and also an
outstanding monetary economist; and Joseph Dodge was the president of a bank in
Detroit. He was supposed to bring practical banking experience to supplement
the economic and financial expertise of Colm and Goldsmith. They
[123]
worked out the so-called
Colm-Goldsmith-Dodge plan, which was a very radical monetary purge in Germany,
designed to cope with conditions that I think I mentioned in earlier parts of
this discussion. There existed a tremendous so-called monetary overhang. The
printing presses had flowed very freely in the immediate postwar period, and
the amount of money piled up in cash and bank deposits was vastly in excess of
the needs of the country. The inflationary impact of that mass of money had
been held back by price controls and wage controls, but if the economy was to
be freed and a liberal system of trade and investment was to be introduced, it
was necessary to do something about this monetary overhang. So the Colm plan
called for all the old currency and the old bank deposits to be repudiated and
exchanged in limited amounts for a new currency to be established, called the
Deutschemark. Cash amounts were converted only
[124]
in small amounts, partly
because a lot of the cash had been hoarded by war profiteers and through
illegal channels. Even bank deposits were converted only in part to the new
currency.
The idea was to establish a
new currency which had a proper relationship to the economic needs of the
country and to permit, at the existing price level, the removal of wage and
price control. I was on the edge of this plan rather than any prime mover in
it, but I spent a good deal of time in interdepartmental conferences with the
authors of the scheme and the military government in Germany, regarding, first,
the construction of the plan, and, secondly, its initiation in Germany. It has
been said since by many historians and observers of the German economic scene
that it was this monetary reform which laid the essential indispensable basis
for the subsequent so-called economic miracle of Germany -- the very rapid
recovery thereafter of German agriculture, industry, and commerce.
[125]
MCKINZIE: With what
certainty did the authors of that plan put it forward, and with what degree of
success?
KNAPP: Well, they put it
forward with force and conviction. Colm and Goldsmith were both old enough to
have lived personally through days of acute raging inflation. They'd studied
the subject academically, and they were quite solid and quite united. They
eventually persuaded their lay colleague, Joe Dodge, to join in the
recommendations. I think the whole concept of the monetary reform was a
tribute to the abilities and experience of these men, and it was accomplished
under the military government in Germany very effectively.
There is one other incident I
might describe of my work in the State Department during that time which casts
an interesting light on the spirit of the times and on some of the problems
that we confronted in disentangling the wartime
[126]
measures. This problem hit
me about the first week that I took my post at the State Department. The
situation was that when the United States forces occupied Japan, they seized
the Bank of Japan and the gold reserves in the Bank of Japan. In due course
these were declared by General [Douglas] MacArthur to be war booty which he
proposed to ship back home to help pay for the costs of the war. This led to
considerable discomfiture in Washington; again it was like the Morgenthau
plan. A lot of people felt that now that Japan was occupied, our task was to
get Japan back on its feet and off the back of the occupying forces, and at
least to a certain extent, they would need some monetary reserves to restore an
orderly economy in Japan.
But the particular aspect of
this matter that came onto my plate, was the fact that in the vaults of the
Bank of Japan at the time, and mixed up with their own gold reserves, was gold
[127]
that the Japanese had seized
in countries that they had occupied during the war. In particular, there were
boxes and boxes of gold in the vaults of the Bank of Japan which, it was quite
clear from the labels on the boxes and from the records of the Bank of Japan,
were the property of the Bank of Thailand. During the Japanese occupation of
Thailand they simply looted these gold reserves and sent them back to Tokyo.
The Thais knew, of course, that this gold was in Tokyo and immediately after
the occupation and the seizure of the assets of the Bank of Japan, they filed a
claim with the U.S. military government for the restoration of this gold. That
claim was turned down by General MacArthur, who said that the Thais had
collaborated, in any case, with the Japanese, and this was American war booty.
It was going to help pay for the U.S. war effort.
So, the State Department was
brought into the picture. As I say, in my first week in the
[128]
Department, I was presented
with a huge dossier giving all the background of this problem, and was asked to
prepare a judgment on it for the Secretary of State.
Well, it was really fairly
simple to determine that this gold was indeed the property of the Government of
Thailand. We had no business taking as war booty something that was stolen
property in Japanese hands. I should say that the only consideration in the
case which tempted me to a different conclusion was that of the role of a
couple of fellows, whose names I wouldn't mention if I remembered them, who
were formerly Treasury lawyers. They had retired from the Treasury, set
themselves up as a law firm in Washington, and offered their services to the Thai
Government to help get the gold back. The only problem about this was that the
value of this gold was about 70 or 80 million dollars, and they had negotiated
a deal with the Thais that if they were to succeed
[129]
in getting this gold back,
they would receive a 5 percent commission. These lawyers kept coming in and
beating at my door, and I just refused to see them. I saw them a first time to
make their case, but after that I refused to see them again. All during the
weeks that I was pondering and working with my associates to find a solution to
this case, they were badgering us constantly, trying of course to show the
Thais that they had been responsible for getting the United States Government
to restore this gold.
Well, it was too bad that the
Thais had entered into such an unwise arrangement with these fellows, but
obviously that wasn't a reason to come to a wrong decision, simply to deny
these fellows their commission. So, we did make a finding, in favor of the
Thais, it was approved by the Secretary of State, and there ensued a long
period of negotiations between Washington and General MacArthur's
administration in Tokyo to get them to give up the gold. That was
[130]
finally accomplished, and the
restoration of that gold in Thailand was very important in enabling them to
proceed with their postwar recovery. It probably, in the long run, saved the
United States a lot of money that they would otherwise have had to provide as
aid to Thailand.
Among my responsibilities in
the State Department was maintaining liaison with the World Bank, or, more
strictly speaking, with the United States executive director in the World Bank,
who was our channel into the Bank. I was thrown in contact with the leadership
of the Bank, which at that time was Eugene Black, as the president; Robert
Garner, the vice-president; and Leonard Rist, who was the son of the famous
French economist Charles Rist and head of the economics department. Toward the
end of 1949, they approached me -- Rist initially, and subsequently Garner and
Black -- to invite me to come to the World Bank as the deputy director of the
economics department.
[131]
The World Bank by that time
had assembled an outstanding team of economists from all over the world, but
what they really were looking for was, so to speak, a manager. Leonard Rist
was a very brilliant man, but he was devoted to his own economic analysis and
problems. I was asked to come as a sort of executive head of the economic work
to organize and administer this stable of interesting personalities which had
been assembled from all over the world.
In another earlier
incarnation, I had had something to do with the initial organization and
founding of the World Bank, but it had never occurred to me at that time that
I'd ever go to work at the institution. But they painted a very interesting
picture, and I decided that I'd had a pretty hectic existence in the State
Department, made all the more hectic by my diversion into this matter of the
Berlin blockade. I could see the possibility of somewhat quieter
[132]
waters and more orderly
personal life, and yet a very challenging opportunity to work on international
economic problems.
So I had a long final
interview with Bob Garner, vice-president of the Bank, who had to be convinced
that any economist could have any sense of managing affairs. He himself had
been a businessman, the treasurer of the General Foods Corporation, before he
came to the Bank. He had very brisk ideas about organization and management,
but I finally passed muster with him and was designated to this post.
We were at that time engaged
in the economic appraisal of the various countries that wanted to borrow money
from the World Bank. The essence of our job was to try to appraise the
creditworthiness of these countries and to render some judgment as to the
limits within which the World Bank ought to lend money to countries all over
the world in very different stages of
[133]
development and very
different economic and financial conditions.
Most of the countries with
which we were dealing were, of course, developing countries, particularly in
those early days the nations of Latin America. I remember vividly the day that
we received a loan application from a big and important country for one hundred
million dollars, which was considered a very large amount at that time. This
came from Australia, and I was commissioned to produce an economic study of the
creditworthiness of Australia. In terms of the economic prospects for the
country, compared to many of the developing countries with which we dealt, this
was a pretty simple proposition. We put together an economic study of
Australia, presented it to our Board, and made them a hundred million dollar
loan within a matter of weeks. This at least established that the Bank --
which at that time had been much criticized for having
[134]
been very slow in getting
itself organized and commencing lending operations -- could move pretty
rapidly, with the right kind of client.
It happened that events soon
intervened to put a temporary halt to my work with the World Bank, because
during 1950 plans were being made for the initiation of the North Atlantic
Treaty Organization, or NATO. The NATO Council, which was to be the principal
civilian body in charge of the affairs of NATO, was to hold its first session
in London in the fall of 1950. The outbreak of the Korean war in June, 1950,
gave new impetus to this matter, and indeed precipitated a crisis in
international affairs which at the time dominated people's thinking. The State
Department (Dean Acheson was then the Secretary of State) in effect mustered me
back into service after I had been only about eight or nine months in the World
Bank. They went after Black and got him to release me to come
[135]
back to the State Department
and proceed to London with the first U.S. delegation to NATO, as their economic
adviser. I spent about a year in London in that capacity.
This was a period during
which the Council was just getting organized and on its feet. General
Eisenhower was the Supreme Commander of NATO forces with his headquarters
outside Paris, and the Council had to establish its authority as the civilian
control over the very dynamic and powerful personality of General Eisenhower.
It was for that reason, essentially, that the Council was established in London
rather than in Paris, to have a degree of physical separation. It was thought
that this might prevent the Council from falling completely under the
domination of the military head of the NATO forces.
This was a pretty frantic
year of just getting organized. People were not at all clear
[136]
in their minds at that time
whether NATO should have an important role in economic and financial affairs.
There was still, of course, the Marshall plan organization (the Organization
for European Economic Cooperation) which was working in Paris with its own
high-level council. As it turned out, NATO never did take over any very
substantial role with respect to the coordination of national economic and
financial policies, or with respect to international trade, investment, and
monetary affairs. But I spent a great deal of time going back and forth
between the OEEC in Paris and the NATO headquarters in London, discussing this
question of our relationships.
We did have on our own plate
in NATO one very important issue of an economic and financial character which
took a great deal of time. This was the question of organizing financing for
the so-called infrastructure facilities in Europe in support of the NATO
forces. This meant airfields,
[137]
telecommunications, roads,
transport arrangements, and the stocks of war supplies that were maintained by
the NATO forces. This issue led to what was perhaps the first coining of the
word that one has heard a great deal more about since,
"burden-sharing."
The question was, how should
the financial support for the NATO installations and supplies be shared among
the members of NATO? In the end, in spite of many attempts to work out actual
burden-sharing formulae based upon national income, trade, reserves, and other
tests of capacity to pay, the negotiations for the sharing of the costs of
these installations was hammered out over the bargaining table, without much
regard for specific economic and financial criteria.
My leave from the Bank to
serve as economic adviser to the NATO delegation was for a term of one year,
and I had expected to return to my post at the Bank at the end of that time.
But
[138]
again, events interceded and
it turned out that I was to spend another year away from the Bank on another
mission before I returned there.
It happened that Brazil, a
nation of very great political and economic interest in the United States, had
fallen into a state of rather severe economic disorder. Furthermore they
wanted to borrow large amounts from the United States, and from the World Bank,
to commence a development program in Brazil. One of the reasons they had
fallen into economic disorder is that they had no development program; nobody
had ever taken a systematic look at the country and decided what lines of
development would be most fruitful and what investments, such as electric
power, transport, agriculture, and industry, would be best designed to put the
country on the road to economic productivity. It had been agreed, in the early
part of 1951, to establish a new type of organization, a joint Brazil-United
[139]
States Commission for
Economic Development, to address this problem. What was new about it was that
it was not just the provision of U.S. technical assistance, but rather a joint
council headed by two co-presidents, a Brazilian and an American, with their
respective staffs, who were to mount a jointly directed effort to formulate an
economic plan for Brazil. The United States had designated as its co-president
a very distinguished gentleman who came out of a New York investment banking
background, Francis Adams Truslow. Truslow had spent some time in Washington
briefing himself for his post in Brazil, and then set sail -- one went by boat
in those days -- with the team that he had organized to Brazil. On his third
or fourth day out, exercising himself in the gym and in the swimming pool on
the ship, he collapsed with a heart failure and died.
This precipitated a serious
problem. The joint commission had been set up with great
[140]
advance publicity, and great
expectations had been placed upon it in Brazil. The United States had a great
political and economic interest in seeing this task carried forward.
So, the State Department
again put the arm on the World Bank and said, "Well, we have another
emergency on our hands. We'd like to have this fellow Knapp take over a second
assignment for us before he returns to the World Bank." I was consulted
on this to some extent in London, but the first thing I knew I found myself
under new orders to proceed to Brazil to pick up the task of heading the
American contingent to the joint Brazilian-American Commission for Economic
Development. I came back to Washington for just a few days to get a hasty
briefing on what was in store for me and set off for Brazil. Whether they
didn't want to risk me or whether they just wanted to get me there sooner, they
insisted that I fly down,
[141]
so I ended up arriving in
Brazil by plane.
This joint commission, I
would like to repeat, was quite an innovation and it had its awkward aspects,
in the sense that the Brazilians had a pretty clear and firm idea of how they
wanted to organize the work. In some respects, it might have been more healthy
for the Americans to be just there as advisers, but we had assumed this
co-responsibility for the execution of the work, and much depended, therefore,
upon a close and collaborative relationship between the Brazilian and the
United States heads of the organization. The Brazilian co-president was a man
named Ary Torres, an engineer-businessman from San Paulo, a very bright and
energetic and personable fellow, but totally without experience in
macro-economic planning. On the other hand, he had with him a group of
advisers of outstanding ability and capacity, and he was quite prepared to take
their guidance. In the end, we worked out quite
[142]
an effective working team,
which, under the co-heads, became more and more integrated as we proceeded with
our work. It wasn't a Brazilian staff working with an American staff, but
became really a joint Brazilian-American team.
Among the outstanding
advisers on the Brazilian side were two men that I might mention particularly.
One was Roberto Campos, an outstanding international economist who many years
later became the Finance Minister of Brazil. And it was really under the
Campos regime that the recovery of Brazil from its chronic economic disorder
was finally accomplished.
Another outstanding adviser
was Lucas Lopez, who also subsequently became Minister of Finance. They had
the advantage also of outside economic consultants, including Octavio Bulhoes,
and Eugenio Gudin, head of the Getulio Vargas Foundation in Rio, who both also
became ministers
[143]
of finance. Gudin was an
older man of outstanding capacity as an economic and financial expert; a
wonderful personality and a sort of guide and counselor to subsequent
generations of Brazilian economists.
I spent a year with this
team. We set about, under a great deal of pressure to show results rapidly,
trying to draw up an inventory of the problems of the Brazilian economy,
particularly designing an investment program to meet the most critical needs of
the economy. These turned out to be very largely in the areas of the basic
public services of electric power and transport. We drew up programs for the
rehabilitation and restoration of the railway services, the highways, and the
ports and coastal shipping, and we did a great deal of work in the field of
electric power development. Looking back upon it, I must say that it was
partly because of the great pressure in which we were operating
[144]
that it was not a model of
macroeconomic planning. People were impatient for practical results and for
the drawing up of specific projects in which investment could be undertaken by
the United States Government, primarily through the Export-Import Bank, and by
the World Bank.
MCKINZIE: Was the impatience
U.S. or Brazilian?
KNAPP: The impatience was
primarily Brazilian. There had been such a fanfare of publicity about these
"saviors" that were going to come in and design a magnificent plan.
There was very little understanding of the degree of disorder which existed and
the amount of work that would really be necessary to prepare a systematic and
rational investment program. But perhaps that was also just as well, because
if there had been the time, it might have been wasted in drawing up a too
finely-tuned plan.
[145]
What was perfectly clear was
that there were serious bottlenecks which were just choking economic production
and growth. The situation of the railways will illustrate that.
The railways were completely
broken down both in their physical facilities and in their administration. The
railways in Brazil, like those in Argentina and Uruguay, had been originally
built mostly by the British. Then they had been nationalized and put into the
hands of the Government administrators, usually military.
The raging inflation, which
was one of the signs of the economic disorder in the country, had destroyed the
earning capacity of the railways. The government wouldn't allow them to raise
their rates fast enough to cover their expenses, and they were constantly being
subsidized out of the budget. They couldn't afford even proper maintenance.
They came to employ masses of labor who were on the payroll for political
purposes as much as for accomplishing any useful
[146]
work. The earnings of the
railways were scarcely enough to cover their wage bill, let alone to buy
supplies, maintain their properties, or provide the new investments necessary
to cover rising economic requirements.
The director general of the
railways at the time was an Army colonel. I remember watching television one
night and seeing him come on to advise people, so far as the passenger services
were concerned, not to travel by rail between Rio de Janeiro and Sao Paulo,
Brazil's two major cities. He said, "You better go by bus, or you'd
better drive your own car. It's just too dangerous to ride on the railways,
because we have all these derailments and we cannot assure your safety."
Well, this wasn't exactly a
promotional speech on behalf of the railways, but it was probably very sound
advice at the time. There had resulted, by reason of inflation and just
general
[147]
neglect, what Roberto Campos
came to call the "decapitalization" of the railways. This happened
also with respect to other public services like water supply and telecommunications.
Decapitalization meant that the real capital resources employed were just
allowed to depreciate and run down, and the depreciation was hastened by the
lack of proper maintenance. No funds were available on the railways to finance
modernization and new investment requirements.
MCKINZIE: You mentioned that
a number of distinguished Brazilian economists worked on the Brazilian side of
it. Did you make changes in the U.S. team after you assumed the
co-chairmanship?
KNAPP: No, not really. We
still had to recruit some more people, but basically I just took over the team
that we had on the United States side. These men may not have been so
distinguished in
[148]
terms of their future
careers, but they brought to Brazil many types of expertise that simply didn't
exist in the country. In other words, you might say the potential of the
Brazilians, with the proper technical help and guidance, was very great. But
they did need some expert assistance. We had people, for example, in the field
of transport. Railway engineers came down to help draw up plans for the
railways who were, just by reason of their depth of experience and background,
in a position to make quite badly needed contributions to the design of a
railways investment program. We had a good team of advisers in general
economics, industry, agriculture, and other branches of economic development.
MCKINZIE: To what extent
were you concerned with private development, such as U.S. investors putting
money into Brazil?
KNAPP: Well, we weren't
directly concerned with
[149]
that, because what we found
was that the opportunities for private investment, whether by Brazilian or
foreign investors, were being stifled through the lack of these basic public
services. We saw it as our task to lay this basic groundwork, or
infrastructure. (The word "infrastructure," I believe, was coined in
connection with NATO, but it was already being carried over into the field of
economic development and in recent years has become a standard part of
development jargon.) We were making plans to build the infrastructure which
would give support to, and release the energies of, the private investing
community in both industry and agriculture.
However, I was drawn into the
problems of private investment in a little different way. Aside from being
co-president of this joint commission, I was also designated as Minister for
Economic Affairs at our Embassy in Brazil. During my stay there, the Brazilian
Government
[150]
introduced some highly
restrictive regulations with respect to foreign investment. It should be
recalled that Brazil was suffering at that time an acute foreign exchange
stringency, and the immediate purpose of these actions was to conserve foreign
exchange. Very severe restrictions were put upon the remittance of profits by
foreign investors in Brazil. They were not only very severe, but very unfair,
because they had retroactive effect with respect to past profits. A company
was permitted to remit "X" percent on the capital it employed in
Brazil -- I think it was 8 percent. But capital employed in Brazil was defined
as the original capital minus whatever had been remitted on that capital in the
past in excess of 8 percent per annum. In many cases, this meant that the
capital base on which these remittances were to be allowed had been eroded to
practically nothing.
Well, this precipitated quite
a crisis in
[151]
U.S.-Brazil relations. I had
to spend some time in negotiating a modification of these regulations to give
more opportunities for profit remittances, and thereby to offer more
inducements and encouragement to foreign investors. These applied not only to
United States investors but to foreign investors generally.
One of the particular problems
about trying to draw up a development program in Brazil was the federal nature
of the government and administration. The power of the individual Brazilian
states is very great today, but in those days it was perhaps even more
significant. Each state wanted to have the major part of the cake, if there
was any cake to be cut up in terms of investment funds emanating either from
the Brazilian Government or from foreign lenders. The reconciliation of these
different state interests was a constant problem. To put it in the extreme,
every state wanted to have a dam and hydroelectric development. There
[152]
were flat states and there
were mountainous states, but even the flat states wanted to have their
monuments to economic progress. This sort of haggling intruded upon the
planning work in a way that gave the Brazilian members of the commission very
serious problems. Politically, that kind of issue sometimes became too hot a
potato for the Brazilians to handle, and it would be up to the American side of
the joint commission to insist that planning proceed in an orderly way, with
due regard to economic and technical considerations rather than to the
political considerations that were injected by state demands.
At that time there did not
exist any central institution in the Brazilian Government which was concerned
with coordinating and financing the different kinds of public investment.
Investment by the various public agencies were not coordinated, priorities were
not established, and it was, indeed,
[153]
the function of the
commission to do something about this. But the commission was a planning
commission, supposed to accomplish its task within a finite period of time --
which in the end turned out to be about two years. One of the great successes
of the commission, I think, was to establish a Brazilian development bank for
the financing of development projects in an orderly way. It was set up when
the work of the commission was concluded. This is the so-called Banco National
de Desinvolvimento Economico. It was established to provide a central place in
the government which, through its control over financial resources, could fix
priorities and see that there was an orderly allocation of investment to the
different branches of the economy and to the different parts of the country.
The BNDE, as it was called, still exists and is one of the very effective
instruments of the Brazilian Government. In later years it has proved its
worth in following up
[154]
the initial work of the joint
commission.
MCKINZIE: Was there any
criticism of the existence of this joint commission on the grounds that the
American component of the team injected itself unduly into Brazilian internal
affairs?
KNAPP: Yes. There was
criticism about it, but I would have to say less criticism than might have been
expected. We were bitterly criticized in the press for our alleged slowness in
coming up with a program and stimulating investments. The fact was that the
Brazilian Government -- and Getulio Vargas at that time ran the Government with
a pretty strong hand -- had invited the U.S. Government to embark upon this
joint effort, and they loyally defended it. I think it is a rather
extraordinary thing that a group of Yankees could have come in and touched so
closely upon matters of vital national interest, and I think it's remarkable
that we didn't have more
[155]
criticism. Aside from
concern about our being slow, and the main criticism came from different
interested regions and states, that we were not paying adequate attention to
their particular affairs and to the projects which they had conceived.
I wore still a third hat
during my stay in Rio. Aside from the joint commission, aside from the
Embassy, I was also the U.S. head of the so-called Point IV program in Brazil. This
had been initiated years before, before the joint commission had been
organized, and it consisted essentially of a program of technical assistance,
especially in Latin America. In Brazil itself it had a sizeable ongoing
program with a large number of American technicians who came and worked, again
jointly, with their Brazilian counterparts in such fields as public health;
education, particularly technical and agricultural; agricultural extension; and
agricultural credit.
[156]
This Point IV program had a
budget, which was, in the Brazilian case, drawn up jointly by myself and my
counterpart, the Brazilian head of the joint commission. We were charged with
the preparation of budgets and with the supervision of the ongoing activities.
It may be remembered that the
term "Point IV" comes from an address delivered by President Truman.
It was his inaugural address of 1949, in which he outlined a series of measures
that he proposed to undertake in both the national and international scene. It
just happened that the fourth point that he listed in his speech was the
provision of technical cooperation to the developing countries to help promote
their economic advancement.
I think I might conclude my
remarks on this year of activity by saying that toward the end of the year we
received a visit from Secretary Acheson, who had long promised to pay a visit
[157]
to Brazil. He had been
attending a NATO meeting in Paris and came back on a triangular trip to Rio on
his way back to Washington. After he had discharged some of his diplomatic
duties, he came over to our offices to pay a special call on the joint
commission. We assembled all our Brazilian and American staff to hear him, and
he gave a perfectly delightful speech, full of wit and humor, and also a great
deal of good counsel and advice about the work in which we were engaged. I was
greatly struck by his reference to the fact that he had just come out of these
NATO meetings in Europe. This was at a time when the relations with the Soviet
Union and the East-West confrontation in Europe were at a serious pitch. He
spoke very inspiringly about how refreshing it was for him to come out of the
old world torn by strife and dissension, where the task was to try to hold the
fabric of the international system together and where vast sums were being
[158]
spent on armaments to no good
purpose, and to visit a new country, not plagued by international
confrontations or the burden of tremendous armament expenditures, but devoted,
as he put it, "to building a new life." He said that the
constructive aspects of this task on which we were engaged contrasted in his
mind very sharply with the destructive and frustrating experience that he had
had in Europe.
He really managed to convey
to this assembled group a sense of new horizons, of great opportunities for
economic advancement and welfare that would develop from our work. It gave us
all inspiration to get on with the job.
I think I said earlier that
my assignment to Brazil was again for a period of one year. The Bank was -- at
least they said they were -- very anxious to get me back, and I was anxious to
get back to resume what I thought of as my longer term career in the Bank.
[159]
So, after serving in Rio for
one year, I was replaced by Ambassador Merwin Bohan, who was an outstanding
member of the United States Foreign Service with a great deal of experience in
Latin America and in economic affairs. I turned over my tasks in Rio to him in
August 1951 and returned to the United States, this time by boat in order to
get a little rest on the way.
In the meanwhile, the World
Bank was just inaugurating a new form of organization. They had decided to
establish regional offices in the Bank and, whereas I had left the Bank in 1950
as the deputy director of the economic work, I returned to the Bank just in
time to become the first director of the Bank's operations in Latin America.
This assignment to Latin
American work, as distinct from other parts of the globe, was presumably
dictated by the thought that I had
[160]
become an expert on Latin
America through being one year in Brazil. I rapidly learned upon taking over
my new duties in the Bank that (a) I wasn't yet an expert on Brazil, and (b)
Brazil wasn't the whole of Latin America. But just by accident, it happened
that my experience in Brazil did start me on a career in Latin American
economic affairs, and I served for the next five years as the director of the
World Bank's activities in Latin America.
MCKINZIE: Thank you very
much.
[Top of the Page | Notices and Restrictions | Interview Transcript | List of Subjects Discussed]
List of Subjects Discussed
Acheson, Dean, 86, 156-158
Allied Control Council, Germany, 52
Atlantic City, N.J., International Monetary Conference, 1943, 28-31
Australia, loan to from World Bank, 133
Bank for International Settlements, 8, 9,
10, 34, 35
Berlin, Germany:
Allied zones in, 52, 53
blockade of, by Soviets, 1948, 49, 110,
113-121
Olympic Games, 1936, 2
Bernstein, Bernard, 56, 57
Bevin, Ernest, 119
Black, Eugene, 130, 134
Blum, Leon, 83, 84
Bohan, Merwin, 158
Bramuglia, Carl V., 115
Brazil U.S. Economic Development Commission, 138-158
Bretton Woods Conference, 1944, 6, 28,
32-35, 37-41, 42,
46, 65, 87
British Commonwealth, Imperial Conference System, 74,
75, 78, 79, 82
British loan, 1946, 75-79, 81, 82,
84, 85, 105-107
Brown, Harriman and Company, Ltd., 3
Bulhoes, Octavio, 142
Cambridge University, 5
Campos, Roberto, 142, 147
Churchill, Winston, Iron Curtain speech, 88
Clay, Lucius D., 58-60, 119
Clayton, Will, 74, 76, 77,
101
Coe, Frank, 33
Colm, Gerhard, 122, 123, 125
Dodge, Joseph, 122, 123, 125
Douglas, Lewis W., 118, 119
Draper, William, 60
Eccles, Marriner, 7, 11, 66-70,
101, 109
Economic Cooperation Administration, 104
Eisenhowwer, Dwight D., 55, 56,
135
Export Import Bank, 65, 100, 103,
109
Federal budget, U.S., deficits in WW II, 11
Federal reserve, U.S.:
capital and exchange controls, WW II, 22, 23
Government expenditures for WW II, underwrites, 10,
12
International Department of, 66, 70-89
international monetary system,post WW II, planning for, 23-25
Knapp, J. Burke, employment of, 6, 8
postwar planning, WW II, 13-17, 23-35
Foreign aid, U.S., aspects of, 90-95
France, U.S. loan to, post WW II, 83, 84
Frankfurt, Germany, U.S. Military Government headquarters, 56,
57
Franks, Oliver, 88
Gardner, Walter, 7, 24, 67
Garner, Robert, 130, 132
Germany:
Allied military administration of, 14, 36,
46, 50-64
Berlin blockade, 53, 110, 113,
121
currency reform in, Allied Military Government, 21,
22, 111-113, 116,
117, 121-125
economic reconstruction of, post WW II, 58-62
Morgenthau Plan re, 47-50, 54, 55
Nazi Party members, purge of, by Allies, 62-64
occupation currency for, Allied Military Government, 17,
18, 19-21
occupation zones, Allied, 51-53
Goldenweiser, E.A., 7, 24
Goldsmith, Raymond, 122, 123, 125
Great Britain:
Conference on international trade (Keynes Mission), 72,
79, 105-107
Keynes Plan advocated by, 28-31
Gudin, Eugenio, 142, 143
Haberler, Gottfried Von, 13
Halifax, Lord, 75, 76, 78
Hansen, Alvin, 12
Harriman, Averell, 89
Harvard University, 13, 14, 45
Havana Conference, international trade, 80, 81
Hoffman, Paul G., 89
Holmes, Julius, 118, 119
International finance bond issues, 3-5
International Monetary Fund, 26, 27,
29, 33, 35, 38,
39, 41, 42, 65,
67, 70, 103,
109
International monetary system, post WW II planning for, 23-35
International Telephone and Telegraph, 4, 5
International trade, Anglo American talks on, 73-79,
81, 82, 105-107
International Trade Organization, 80, 81,
82
Jacobson, Per, 8-10
Japan:
Bank of, seizure of assets by U.S. Military Government, 126-129
economic resurgence of, post WW II, 94, 95,
97
Jessup, Philip, 121
Kaldor, Nicholas, 116
Keynes, John Maynard, 5, 12, 13,
27, 28, 73, 75,
76, 78, 105,
106-108
Keynes Plan, 28-31
Knapp, J. Burke, background, 1-9
Krupp Steel Works, Essen, Germany, 56, 95
Lend-lease, 70, 71, 98,
99
London, England, international financing of bond issues, 2,
3, 4
Lopez, Lucas, 142
Lovett, Robert A., 108
MacArthur, Douglas, 126, 127
Mann, Henry, 3
Marshall, George C., 86, 87, 108
Marshall Plan, 44, 45, 46,
82, 85, 86-94,
96-97, 103-104
Military surplus stocks, U.S., 71, 72
Morgenthau, Henry, Jr., 34, 39,
47
Morgenthau Plan, 47-50, 54-55, 56,
57, 60, 61
Mormon Church, 67, 68-69
Murphy, Robert D., 56, 58, 61
Myrdal, Gunnar, 116, 117-118
National Advisory Council, 65-66, 70,
74, 100-104, 108
National War College, 16
Nazi party, Germany, 62-64
Nitze, Paul H., 109
North Africa, WW II, U.S. military occupation currency in, 18
North Atlantic Treaty Organization (NATO), 134-137
Office of Commercial Policy, U.S. State Department, 109
Office of Finance and Development Policy, U.S. State Department, 102,
108
Olympic Games, 1936, 2
Organization for European Economic Cooperation, 115-116,
136
Oxford University, 1, 5, 8
Pasvolsky, Leo, 16
Point IV program, Brazil, 155-156
Rist, Leonard, 130-131
Ritchie, Charles, 115
Ritchie, Ed, 115
River Plate Telephone Company, 4-5
Robertson, Norman, 115, 117-118
Roosevelt, Franklin D., 68
Rostow, Walter, 116
Salt Lake City, Utah, 67, 68,
69
Scotland, Mormon missionary visit to, 68-69
SHAEF headquarters, Versailles, France, 55-56
Soviet Union:
allied occupation currency in Germany, use of, 19-21
blockade of Berlin, Germany, 1948, 49, 53,
110, 113-120
Bretton Woods Agreement, signing of, 39-40
Germany, occupation zone of, 51-53
Marshall Plan, rejection of, 87-88
U.S. loan, request for, at end of WW II, 98-100
Stimson, Henry L., 59-60
Switzerland, Bank for International Settlements, 8, 9,
10, 34-35
Thailand, Bank of, assets seized by Japan restored to, 127-130
Thomas, Woodlief, 7, 24
Thorp, Willard L., 101-102, 108,
109
Torres, Ary, 141
Truman, Harry S., Point IV program announced by, 155
Truslow, Francis Adams, 139
UN Economic Commission for Europe, 115-116
UN Security Council, Berlin crisis, 1948, 115
Vargas, Getulio, 154
Vienna, Austria, Allied Control Council for, 52-53
Vinson, Fred M., 76
White, Harry Dexter, 6, 24, 26,
28, 33
World Bank, 33, 38, 40-46,
65, 70, 72, 90,
102, 103, 109,
130-134, 138, 140,
159-160
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